quickrick said:
zorg1000 said:
Idk how many times it needs to be stated that Switch and 3DS are two seperate systems and appear to be on different trajectories.
3DS after 11 months was at 4.27 million and Switch after 11 months is at ~5.15 million in the US.
In Feb/March 2012, 3DS did 260k & 220k while Switch looks to do ~300k in each.
That puts 3DS at ~4.75 million and Switch at ~5.75 million after 13 months.
The fact that Switch is tracking over 20% ahead of 3DS at nearly twice the price should be all you need to realize that Switch is most likely going to blow past 3DS in the US.
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its going to beat 3ds but beating xbox is not a sure thing, especially with how nintendo consoles usually lose momentum much faster.
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Nintendo consoles lose momentum faster than Xbox based on what exactly?
Xbox
Launch-Nov 2001
Peak-2004 (3rd year)
Replaced-Nov 2005
360
Launch-Nov 2005
Peak-2011 (6th year)
Replaced-Nov 2013
What does a normal cycle for Xbox look like?
Here are the Nintendo consoles since 2001
GBA
Launch-June 2001
Peak-2003 (3rd year)
Replaced-Nov 2004
GC
Launch-Nov 2001
Peak-2003 (2nd year)
Replaced-Nov 2006
DS
Launch-Nov 2004
Peak-2008 or 2009 (4th/5th year)
Replaced-March 2011
Wii
Launch-Nov 2006
Peak-2008 (2nd year)
Replaced-Nov 2012
3DS
Launch-March 2011
Peak-2011 (1st year)
Replaced-March 2017
Wii U
Launch-Nov 2012
Peak-2014 (2nd year)
Replaced-March 2017
Based on that when does a normal Xbox console lose momentum and when does a normal Nintendo console lose momentum?
If Switch was just a home console than you could make a good guess but its also a handheld which are not nearly as consistent.
Saying Nintendo consoles normally lose momentum faster than Xbox consoles is based on absolutely nothing.