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Forums - Sales Discussion - February 2018 NPD predictions thread

 

which console will sell the most

Switch, by a lot 7 11.11%
 
Switch, barely 31 49.21%
 
PS4, by a lot 10 15.87%
 
PS4, barely 7 11.11%
 
XB1, by a lot 3 4.76%
 
XB1, barely 5 7.94%
 
Total:63
Welfare on 01 March 2018
Lawlight said:
Welfare said:

Yes I am.

The last time we had a 5 week January, the week over week improvements in February were nothing special.

Xbox 360 January 2013: 281K / 5 = 56,200
Xbox 360 February 2013: 302K / 4 = 75,500
Weekly average up +34%

PS3 January 2013: 201K / 5 = 40,200
PS3 February 2013: 262K / 4 = 65,500
Weekly average up +63%

3DS January 2013: 145K / 5 = 29,000
3DS February 2013: 189K / 4 = 47,250
Weekly average up +63%

Wii January 2013: 100K / 5 = 20,000
Wii February 2013: 99K / 4 = 24,750
Weekly average up +24%

Right now my predictions show a ~+60% increase in weekly average for Xbox One, ~+55% for PS4, and ~+30% for Switch so those would be alright outcomes. If all 3 consoles go above 300K I would be pleasantly shocked.

Very interesting. Why do you have the Switch increase by such a low percentage, as opposed to the 3DS?

After a weaker January than I was expecting, I'm being a bit reserved with February. I do think Switch will manage to take March so I'm predicting momentum will be stronger for Switch going into Spring.



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

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BrittinShicks on 16 March 2018

My prediction:

PS4: 350k
XBox: 305k
Switch: 275k



Farsala on 16 March 2018

PS4 wins in $ again eh.

Switch: 340k
XB1: 320k
PS4: 290k



chakkra on 16 March 2018

Ok, let's see if I'm getting better at this.

NS - 330K

ps4 - 320K

X1 -  300K



quickrick on 16 March 2018

aren't we in 2018 lol



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zorg1000 on 16 March 2018
quickrick said:
aren't we in 2018 lol

Lol this thread has been open for over 2 weeks and nobody caught that.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

quickrick on 16 March 2018
zorg1000 said:
quickrick said:
aren't we in 2018 lol

Lol this thread has been open for over 2 weeks and nobody caught that.

lol i just noticed as well :P



Jranation on 16 March 2018

Switch 350k > PS4 325k > XB1 305K



Pocky Lover Boy! 

Ryng on 17 March 2018
zorg1000 said:
quickrick said:
aren't we in 2018 lol

Lol this thread has been open for over 2 weeks and nobody caught that.

 

quickrick said:
aren't we in 2018 lol

 

Woops. Edited. :p



tbone51 on 17 March 2018

NSW 279k
Ps4 249k
X1 278k