I was going by the numbers on here. I had no idea they would be so out of sync. I notice you are moving the goalposts again. It's been explained to you that Smash 4 was a port, therefore hurting sales, possibly for both 3ds and Wii u versions. As for your predictions. The NPD was clearly what you HOPED would happen. Not sure you could take credit for any of your other predictions. All you did was to stalk the insiders and those in the know, then stealth change or flip flop your predictions and stealth change accordingly. That is not predicting. It's parroting those in the know, then trying to sneakily change your predictions when conflicting information comes in. You really shouldn't argue about stuff you know nothing about and a quick google search won't cut it.

I'll give you another chance to flip flop and possibly get yourself out of a hole. What are your predictions for LT for Odyssey, next Smash for Switch, Animal Crossing for Switch and by extension, Switch itself. This should be interesting. 

ok so you can use that excuse for smash being out sold on 3ds and wiiu, but i can't use mario galaxy being out sold by smash on wii because there was two 3d mario games that gen, and the sequel actually out only 2 years later. anyway smash, and 3d mario like i said before are too close in sales to call one bigger then the other on a game to game bases, but 3d mario has way more potential, and has way more games under it's belt with big sales, so it's a bigger franchise, this is a fact.

mario  Odyssey 18 million

smash 11 million

mario kart 16 million

animal crossing 11 million i don't really know about his franchise , it has 6 games in 18 years and only 2 sold over 10 million.

At least you admit you know little about AC so that's a start. So basically you are predicting 18m for Odyssey, 11m for Smash and 16m for MK8D(?) 11m for Animal Crossing but yet no Switch prediction? So, going by your numbers with 2 franchises lowballed (imo), what would the Switch userbase numbers be for those sort of numbers do you think? You've personally made a mockery of your 50m  and all those lower predictions with those numbers. The previous highest selling 3D Mario game, Galaxy sold to roughly 12.5% of the userbase, so by that metric, Switch will sell 144m. So what's it to be?

EDIT. I see you stealth edited your post. Well, if Mario sells 20m then using a 12.5% attach rate then that equates to 160m. Interesting. At least 1 of your predictions coming true will see the Switch breaking records. It seems you have changed your tune, lol.

mario odyssey is selling at a rate no 3d mario has ever sold before were talking about around 3x faster then galaxy at the moment. AC is very weird in nearly 20 years they only have 2 games that sold great, and the meh or ok. this seems like a hit and miss franchise. and you way over exaggerating instal base, mario kart 8 sold around 8.4 million on a install base of 13.6 million.

We're talking about 3d Mario, not Mario Kart. Mario kart is so popular it will get an insane attach rate on any console within reason. Also, there wasn't much competition for games for it on Wii u. Although, mk8 rehash has no chance of an attach rate anywhere near the original.

We're talking about 3d Mario, not Mario Kart. Mario kart is so popular it will get an insane attach rate on any console within reason. Also, there wasn't much competition for games for it on Wii u. Although, mk8 rehash has no chance of an attach rate anywhere near the original.