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quickrick on 20 January 2018
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peachbuggy said:
quickrick said:

ok so you can use that excuse for smash being out sold on 3ds and wiiu, but i can't use mario galaxy being out sold by smash on wii because there was two 3d mario games that gen, and the sequel actually out only 2 years later. anyway smash, and 3d mario like i said before are too close in sales to call one bigger then the other on a game to game bases, but 3d mario has way more potential, and has way more games under it's belt with big sales, so it's a bigger franchise, this is a fact.

mario  Odyssey 18 million

smash 11 million

mario kart 16 million

animal crossing 11 million i don't really know about his franchise , it has 6 games in 18 years and only 2 sold over 10 million.

At least you admit you know little about AC so that's a start. So basically you are predicting 18m for Odyssey, 11m for Smash and 16m for MK8D(?) 11m for Animal Crossing but yet no Switch prediction? So, going by your numbers with 2 franchises lowballed (imo), what would the Switch userbase numbers be for those sort of numbers do you think? You've personally made a mockery of your 50m  and all those lower predictions with those numbers. The previous highest selling 3D Mario game, Galaxy sold to roughly 12.5% of the userbase, so by that metric, Switch will sell 144m. So what's it to be?

 

EDIT. I see you stealth edited your post. Well, if Mario sells 20m then using a 12.5% attach rate then that equates to 160m. Interesting. At least 1 of your predictions coming true will see the Switch breaking records. It seems you have changed your tune, lol.

mario odyssey is selling at a rate no 3d mario has ever sold before were talking about around 3x faster then galaxy at the moment. AC is very weird in nearly 20 years they only have 2 games that sold great, and the meh or ok. this seems like a hit and miss franchise. and you way over exaggerating instal base, mario kart 8 sold around 8.4 million on a install base of 13.6 million.

Last edited by quickrick - on 20 January 2018