2 of those links are talking about stock dropping within hours, a companies value dropping 8% in a couple hours is alot different than a device declining 8% over the course of a year.

Falling off a cliff implies a large sudden decline, not a slow gradual one.

Actually this are more accurate shipped numbers for fiscal years, and it's obvious that 3DS is seiling OK even in its 7. year on market.

https://www.statista.com/graphic/1/262074/worldwide-sales-of-the-nintendo-3ds-since-2004.jpg

Nothing you wrote dont go against what I wrote. And like I wrote, in any case he implied that Switch will stop selling when PS5 comes in market and offocurse that dont make sense.

Offocurse that Switch has some weaknesses too, but fact is that Switch is selling on home console and handheld market in same time, and that makes huge difrence compared to only handheld or only home console. Unified software platform where handheld and home console IPs are on one platform is also huge advanatage.

Yeah, its highly expected that Switch will have multiple regions with cheaper one offer also, espacily beacuse next year 3DS will die.

What is your “normal” prediction? I’m always happy to see you predicting because you do it very well. 

What is your “normal” prediction? I’m always happy to see you predicting because you do it very well. 

Considering this minimum, probably around 80M

Its hard to do year by year without knowing too much. I do think the floor is 60mil. There is very good momentum going for the switch and nintendo excluding the wii have never been in such a good situation in its first year.

80mil-85mil based on FY sales. 100mil+ is possible but it will be easier to see by next year (after 2018 sales).

All i do kno is switch is guarteed 15mil+ in japan especially if ps4 is going to do 8mil minimum

#DS

2011 - 13M

2012 - 14M

2013 - 14M

2014 - 10M

2015 - 7M

Year 4 and 5 saw 30% drop on the previous year. But certainly the peak and the drop is smoother than what we have seen from the Nintendo consoles.

One thing I have to remember you and other Nintendo fans all the time is that you can't by calling it a hybrid uses only the strenghts of what Nintendo had on consoles and HH without also considering the weakness of both, like if the sum of the parts made it all strenghts and no weakness.

We can't really be sure if they will have several revisions and that it will bring high sales, although it's expected. Still as I put, if PS5 comes only by 2021, Switch would already be on the decline phase so it would be even harder to see it passing PS4 (because also, PS5 releasing in 2021 means PS4 sales up until that point were still strong).

The best part of all of this is that for once after almost 4 years the discussions about selling speed, who will top the chart and etc seem to be alive.

And even though I prefer Sony and that they keep doing dedicated desk consoles I'm pleased with Nintendo playing to their strengths and finding ways to please its customers, finding well deserved success. That may entice Sony to look at a similar path (which I believe we already discussed) that may be very dependent on the speed of technology and how they will make compromises on next gen development.