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LipeJJ said:
tbone51 said:
This is my minimum prediction for years 2-4

Y1: 14mil
Y2: 15mil (full supply)
Y3: 16mil (pokemon+new sku)
Y4: 11mil
Y5: 9mil

Minimum 65mil lifetime

What is your “normal” prediction? I’m always happy to see you predicting because you do it very well. 

 

DonFerrari said:
LipeJJ said:

What is your “normal” prediction? I’m always happy to see you predicting because you do it very well. 

Considering this minimum, probably around 80M

Its hard to do year by year without knowing too much. I do think the floor is 60mil. There is very good momentum going for the switch and nintendo excluding the wii have never been in such a good situation in its first year.

 

80mil-85mil based on FY sales. 100mil+ is possible but it will be easier to see by next year (after 2018 sales).

 

All i do kno is switch is guarteed 15mil+ in japan especially if ps4 is going to do 8mil minimum