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Forums - Sales - November 2017 NPD Thread! PS4 > XBO > Switch

Sh1nn said:
Splatoon 2 ~100K in November

Skyrim Switch a lillte over 100K

https://www.resetera.com/posts/2173678/
https://www.resetera.com/posts/2190828/

I mean good for splat2 but damn high skyrim sales! Third parties not to shabby, game can clear 500k WW by years end (ship+digital)



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Why am I not surprised by some of the comments in here and that this thread is still going pretty strong.



quickrick said:
KLAMarine said:

I'm afraid I don't follow... How many of the X1X sell? My understanding is that the number was impressive considering the hefty price tag.

X sold around 430k. with out the x launch, were looking at 870k for xbox one at 189$, thats not really impressive.

This is assuming people who bought an X would not have bought an x1s if not for the X.

flashfire926 said:
KLAMarine said:

I'm afraid I don't follow... How many of the X1X sell? My understanding is that the number was impressive considering the hefty price tag.

the number was 430k, 65% higher than pro launch.

that means x1s sold from anywhere between 866k to 1081k units. 

the npd tracking period only lasted until nov 25, so the $189 xbox only got 3 days, while $199 ps4 got a whole week.

If true, certainly helps put things in perspective.

Sh1nn said:

Splatoon 2 ~100K in November

Skyrim Switch a little over 100K

https://www.resetera.com/posts/2173678/
https://www.resetera.com/posts/2190828/

Are these supposed to be sources?



jason1637 said:
thismeintiel said:

Why wouldn't they? This year was most likely the peak year for the PS4. Next year will more than likely either be flat or only slightly down. But, 2019 is when we're going to start seeing the decline of these then 6 year old consoles. That would be a great time to keep PS momentum going and announce the PS5, especially if it's B/C. 

 

Besides, history shows 6 years is the standard lifespan of a Playstation generation.

PS1 - '94 to '00 = 6 years

PS2 - '00 to '06 = 6 years

 

The only outlier is the PS3, which lasted 7 years before its successor launched. Personally, I think that was due to it costing so much to make, Sony wanted to try and cover some the early losses. Not an issue this generation. Besides, when Sony called the Pro a mid-gen revision, I think they meant it. They also said they no longer want to get too far behind on technological advances. 

The PS4 is still selling really well and the Pro came out last year. Its very possible 2018 could be the peak year and I don't know why Sony will cut the PS4s sales by going with a PS5 in 2019. I think the PS5 is a 2020 thing. Or even 2021.

You could ask yourself that same question for any of their consoles, really.  The answer is, they aren't cutting their sales short.  They are making sure the PS momentum continues.  As soon as interest starts to wane in the old console, then BAM! here's the new one.  Not only do the new systems sell well, but the old ones continue to sell well, too.  The PS1 still sold ~30M after the PS2 launched.  The PS2 sold 50M+ after the PS3 launched.  Again, the only outlier was the PS3. 

The reasons it didn't sell so well after the PS4 launched are many fold.  First, it wasn't quite the force the other PS systems were (which the PS4 is, again.)  Second, they weren't able to drop the price to $199 until after the PS4 launched, while the PS1 was $99 and the PS2 $129 when their successors were launched (the PS4 should at least be able to get down to $149.)  And third, the PS3 had an extended time on the market before the PS4 launched. If you the PS4 launched in 2012, and sales for the PS3 stayed similar, it would have done ~20M after the PS4 launched, as opposed to ~8M (I think Sony is going back to the model that worked best for them, a 6 year gen length.)

The fact is the people waiting to buy a PS4 at ~$149 are not the same people willing to buy a PS5 at $399.  I could see the PS4 easily hitting 20M+ after the PS5 launches, even if its in late 2019.

Last edited by thismeintiel - on 16 December 2017

TruckOSaurus said:
quickrick said:

console will be very front loaded it wont reach 3ds numbers. nintendo has 4 monster franchises out, plus its getting boost from thesmall user base that buys there home consoles, thats why its in front of 3ds.

I have a question for you, since I'm trying to figure out if you're worth listening to at all. When Nintendo has another great year of sales in 2018 will you own up to it or just change your story to say it'll crash and burn in 2019 instead?

if it sells as good as it did this year in europe and US, then i would admit i was wrong.



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DonFerrari said:
jason1637 said:

The PS4 is still selling really well and the Pro came out last year. Its very possible 2018 could be the peak year and I don't know why Sony will cut the PS4s sales by going with a PS5 in 2019. I think the PS5 is a 2020 thing. Or even 2021.

Yep, I  believe on a roughly 2 years after decline start for the next gen to launch... so 2020-2021 is my expectation as well, it will depend on how shap the decline become.

I believe Sony needs to fix the launch date before designing the components for their PS5. They can't build a system on components coming out in 2021 and then release the system in 2020 after a sudden drop in PS4. or build a system on components of 2018 and then delay it by a year or two if they find PS4 doing pretty well. 

Definitely they have some flexibility in extending the design by lot of things get built around the specification of the hardware like compilers, IDEs, debugging units, game engines. So we can all argue on when Sony will be launching the PS5 but i m quite certain that Sony by now must have finalized the release year and components of the system. 



$249 slowly clawing it's way to the top of the Amazon hourlies, no where near as fast as the $199 1tb though. Gotta give props to Sony, they've cleverly handled this holiday season, I could see them winning December though not in as dominant fashion as Nov. 

Last edited by PortisheadBiscuit - on 16 December 2017

PortisheadBiscuit said:
$249 slowly clawing it's way to the top, no where near as fast as the $199 1tb though. Gotta give props to Sony, they've cleverly handled this holiday season, I could see them winning December though not in as dominant fashion as Nov.

Yeah, I thought they would have done a $199 which is what I thought they would do, so I can honestly see it doing well, but not as well as November.



Making an indie game : Dead of Day!

quickrick said:
flashfire926 said:

the number was 430k, 65% higher than pro launch.

that means x1s sold from anywhere between 866k to 1081k units. 

the npd tracking period only lasted until nov 25, so the $189 xbox only got 3 days, while $199 ps4 got a whole week.

that was a great move by sony to take the win.

 

199$ ps4 sold out in 2 days. xbox one s family only did 1.3 million. xbox one s=870k.

You have any source saying it's 1.3m?



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

DonFerrari said:

 

flashfire926 said:
I love how some of the ps guys are desperately trying to paint a bad picture for xbox/nintendo.
Doing this just makes you look worse.
I mean, just admit that other consoles are doing well too and get a move on.

And I'm under the impression you never do bad comments about Sony right?


I make bad bad comments about each if I think they deserve it.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.