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Forums - Gaming Discussion - When will the PS4 peak?

 

PS4 peak:

2016 22 12.02%
 
2017 55 30.05%
 
2018 84 45.90%
 
2019 22 12.02%
 
Total:183

2018. 199€ PS4 Slim with all the games will be better than this year.



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I agree with 2018. The games on offer including Tlou2 should make a difference



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2018 I think.



I don't see a price cut this year, either, for at least two other reasons, the first is that next year a major AMD process refinement will allow major cost and power consumption savings, making a significant price cut totally viable, the second is that rushing a price cut the same year of NS launch could be interpreted as weakness, and this would be bad and totally unnecessary, as PS4 is clearly showing it's not damaged by NS, they aren't competing directly, or at least not yet.



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estebxx said:
It should have peaked last year but looking at the data it seems its gonna peak this year, and then you look at the game lineup of 2018 and i wouldnt even be surprised if it actually peaks next year...

^ this. Its hard to tell with the PS4.... one thing is certain its going to have a pretty decent 2017, and 2018.

Even if it peaks in 2017, its sales in 2018 will probably not be too far off.



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Sony seems to be strategically spreading their games next year, starting with SotC, God of War. Spring will be Detroit's time to shine, maybe around June-Summer: Spider-Man, and Fall will see Dreams and Days Gone. Then of course you have all the 3rd party exclusives in between with Ni no Kuni, Yakuza, Dissidia etc. And don't forget the impact of multiplat games people will associate with PS4 like MH World, Ace Combat 7, Far Cry 5 and the biggest of them all: RDR2.

PSVR momentum will continue next year.

As predicted the price cuts this holiday were temporary, but permanent price cuts are most likely coming in 2018

Anyone still doubting 2018 will be peak year?



People are going to hate me, but I think 2017.
There first party line up in 2018 is insane, as a big first party fan I couldn’t be any more hyped.
However this doesn’t always tramslate over to sales. The PS4 has been out 4 strong years now and a lot of people who wanted one have got one.
I still think the sales will be amazing, but just be a little off 2017. I can’t make a sales prediction though because we need final 2018 sales first



2018 Hit List: Shadow of the Colossus, Detroit, Dreams, Spider-Man, God Of War, Days Gone, Medievil, Tomb Raider 3, RDR2 

I think it will peak in 2018.



This year, with around 20.5m sales. Even with the incredible lineup next year I don't expect it to sell quite that well, not much less though.



merman said:
People are going to hate me, but I think 2017.
There first party line up in 2018 is insane, as a big first party fan I couldn’t be any more hyped.
However this doesn’t always tramslate over to sales. The PS4 has been out 4 strong years now and a lot of people who wanted one have got one.
I still think the sales will be amazing, but just be a little off 2017. I can’t make a sales prediction though because we need final 2018 sales first

 really don't understand this line of thinking.... how does anyone know how many people want one? What metric or measure is used to determine this?

For me, I would have thought that we look at the combined total console sales from the last gen then that will at least tell us how big the market "potential" is. Now if only looking at the HD twins, that market sits at around 160M. That means there are still at the very least 60M people that still may buy a PS4/XB1.

Having said that, I think games like RDR will do wonders for the PS4 next year. I have noticed a lot of people underestimate what would happen if the console is sold at $199 for the most part of a year. 

I agree with you on one part though, if next year is its peak year it would be just a little off this years performance. +/- 1M units.