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Forums - Nintendo - Year 1 - Week 52 - Global Switch Sales vs WiiU/XboxOne/3DS/PS4

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Mnementh said:

I only about this:

http://www.vgchartz.com/article/268531/nintendo-to-increase-switch-shipments-in-july-and-august/

This is July and August. Nintendo said something about June too?

http://nintendoeverything.com/nintendo-apologizes-for-switch-shortages-in-japan-increasing-shipments-starting-next-month/

"Nintendo says that it continues to ship more Switch units each week. Additionally, in July and August, shipments will increase. The new Splatoon 2 bundle is included in that. Production will further increase starting in the fall."

This means thay have already started to ship more units, and will continue to do so throughout July until Splatoon 2 launch - after which the baseline should be higher (I guess around 180k-200k) troughout August and continue to rise into fall season.

Ah, thanks.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

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RolStoppable said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

http://nintendoeverything.com/nintendo-apologizes-for-switch-shortages-in-japan-increasing-shipments-starting-next-month/

"Nintendo says that it continues to ship more Switch units each week. Additionally, in July and August, shipments will increase. The new Splatoon 2 bundle is included in that. Production will further increase starting in the fall."

This means thay have already started to ship more units, and will continue to do so throughout July until Splatoon 2 launch - after which the baseline should be higher (I guess around 180k-200k) troughout August and continue to rise into fall season.

You are interpreting that incorrectly. The bolded statement means that new shipments arrive at stores each week, as opposed to nothing. It basically addresses the potential misbelief that Switch is only sold out all the time because stores rarely, if ever, receive new shipments.

The second sentence adds more context and specifies that shipments will increase in July and August. If June had already seen an increase, then this sentence would read "further increase". When you look at the final sentence, this particular distinction is being made.

So in summary:

1. June's weekly baseline should be expected to be flat in comparison to May.

2. The weekly baseline and monthly sales are bound to increase in July and August because of higher shipments. Although July might not pick up until the middle of the month because of stockpiled units for the Splatoon 2 launch.

3. In fall the weekly baseline and monthly sales have the potential to increase even further, provided that the demand is there. While fall starts in September, the exact month is unspecified in the statement. Expectations should be targeting October, that's my recommendation.

You got 2 and 3 right, but you are wrong about June.

Ah, thanks. That's basically how I understood it so far, that's why I was so surprised about June.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

RolStoppable said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

http://nintendoeverything.com/nintendo-apologizes-for-switch-shortages-in-japan-increasing-shipments-starting-next-month/

"Nintendo says that it continues to ship more Switch units each week. Additionally, in July and August, shipments will increase. The new Splatoon 2 bundle is included in that. Production will further increase starting in the fall."

This means thay have already started to ship more units, and will continue to do so throughout July until Splatoon 2 launch - after which the baseline should be higher (I guess around 180k-200k) troughout August and continue to rise into fall season.

You are interpreting that incorrectly. The bolded statement means that new shipments arrive at stores each week, as opposed to nothing. It basically addresses the potential misbelief that Switch is only sold out all the time because stores rarely, if ever, receive new shipments.

The second sentence adds more context and specifies that shipments will increase in July and August. If June had already seen an increase, then this sentence would read "further increase". When you look at the final sentence, this particular distinction is being made.

So in summary:

1. June's weekly baseline should be expected to be flat in comparison to May.

2. The weekly baseline and monthly sales are bound to increase in July and August because of higher shipments. Although July might not pick up until the middle of the month because of stockpiled units for the Splatoon 2 launch.

3. In fall the weekly baseline and monthly sales have the potential to increase even further, provided that the demand is there. While fall starts in September, the exact month is unspecified in the statement. Expectations should be targeting October, that's my recommendation.

You got 2 and 3 right, but you are wrong about June.

Oh, ok, my bad then

I expect to not be the only person who misunderstood this sentence, though. Would have been clearer with new instead of more, I think.



RolStoppable said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

http://nintendoeverything.com/nintendo-apologizes-for-switch-shortages-in-japan-increasing-shipments-starting-next-month/

"Nintendo says that it continues to ship more Switch units each week. Additionally, in July and August, shipments will increase. The new Splatoon 2 bundle is included in that. Production will further increase starting in the fall."

This means thay have already started to ship more units, and will continue to do so throughout July until Splatoon 2 launch - after which the baseline should be higher (I guess around 180k-200k) troughout August and continue to rise into fall season.

You are interpreting that incorrectly. The bolded statement means that new shipments arrive at stores each week, as opposed to nothing. It basically addresses the potential misbelief that Switch is only sold out all the time because stores rarely, if ever, receive new shipments.

The second sentence adds more context and specifies that shipments will increase in July and August. If June had already seen an increase, then this sentence would read "further increase". When you look at the final sentence, this particular distinction is being made.

So in summary:

1. June's weekly baseline should be expected to be flat in comparison to May.

2. The weekly baseline and monthly sales are bound to increase in July and August because of higher shipments. Although July might not pick up until the middle of the month because of stockpiled units for the Splatoon 2 launch.

3. In fall the weekly baseline and monthly sales have the potential to increase even further, provided that the demand is there. While fall starts in September, the exact month is unspecified in the statement. Expectations should be targeting October, that's my recommendation.

You got 2 and 3 right, but you are wrong about June.

 

Thanks for clarifying this, makes sense and I look forward to see those numbers increasing. Switch is a great piece of gaming tech and deserves the success.

Anyone any opinion how Zelda-sales can grow while at the same time console-sales decline? All early Switch-owners I thought had already Zelda and new Switch-buyers can choose between more games now. So I thought the attach-rate of Zelda would decline instead of growing.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

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Mnementh said:
Anyone any opinion how Zelda-sales can grow while at the same time console-sales decline? All early Switch-owners I thought had already Zelda and new Switch-buyers can choose between more games now. So I thought the attach-rate of Zelda would decline instead of growing.

Several possibilities: Simple fluctuations, increased stock in retail stores or the DLCs, or all of the above



OK, seven more weeks until Splatoon. This is week 21. I brace for more horrible sub-150K-weeks until then.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Mnementh said:
OK, seven more weeks until Splatoon. This is week 21. I brace for more horrible sub-150K-weeks until then.

There will be some ARMS effect somewhere. It's looking to be quite a good launch in NA.



guiduc said:
Mnementh said:
OK, seven more weeks until Splatoon. This is week 21. I brace for more horrible sub-150K-weeks until then.

There will be some ARMS effect somewhere. It's looking to be quite a good launch in NA.

Ok, one week outof them isn't horrible.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Well, still no hardware for the 10th. But software side for the US for the week ending 17th looks interesting. Zelda goes down a lot - for the first time. Still I think Switch is not going bad, as it is Arms release week. Seems Arms is the second game besides Zelda that does sell Switches. The people getting a Switch for Arms are OK with leaving out Zelda. Very interesting:

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/42904/USA/



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]