Forums - Gaming Discussion - Bold Prediction: Splat2 > DQXI (3ds/ps4) Japan! Next Combined: 565k* Left

Splatoon 2 vs DQXI... (choose best option)

Splat2 Will Sell Less PS4+3DS Sku 28 40.00%
 
Splat2 Will Sell mor than... 17 24.29%
 
Splat2 Wont outsell neither ps4 or 3ds sku 4 5.71%
 
Splat2 Will outsell DQXI (all sku combined) 21 30.00%
 
Total:70
tbone51 said:
Dreamcaster said:
This won't be close. DQXI 4.5M vs Spla2n 2.5M

I think you might be underestimating splat2. It has potential to hit 4mil+. Im going with 5mil for both games. Itll be pretty close imo ;p

4 million+? I don't think so. Splatoon 1 sold about 1.5, on the Wii U granted, but that's still a far cry from 4 and definitely 5 mil. The thing is, I don't think that the Wii U's install base held Splatoon back all that much. To back this up, Mario Kart 8 sold about 1.3 to 7's 2.8 and Smash Wii U sold nearly 0.9 to the 3DS's 2.5. As we can see, MK sold about 47% on Wii U as it did on 3DS and Smash did about 36%. This is in spite of the Wii U only having 14% of the install base.

Now, let's say that the Switch ends with about 18 million LTD in Japan, nearly 6x the Wii U. You may say that this means Spatoon 2 can sell 3x as much, but taking in to account, the Wii U's absurdly high attach-rate and the fact that there is not a direct correlation between install base and game sales, even 3 million, by doubling already massive sales, seems too optimistic.



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Dreamcaster said:
tbone51 said:

I think you might be underestimating splat2. It has potential to hit 4mil+. Im going with 5mil for both games. Itll be pretty close imo ;p

4 million+? I don't think so. Splatoon 1 sold about 1.5, on the Wii U granted, but that's still a far cry from 4 and definitely 5 mil. The thing is, I don't think that the Wii U's install base held Splatoon back all that much. To back this up, Mario Kart 8 sold about 1.3 to 7's 2.8 and Smash Wii U sold nearly 0.9 to the 3DS's 2.5. As we can see, MK sold about 47% on Wii U as it did on 3DS and Smash did about 36%. This is in spite of the Wii U only having 14% of the install base.

Now, let's say that the Switch ends with about 18 million LTD in Japan, nearly 6x the Wii U. You may say that this means Spatoon 2 can sell 3x as much, but taking in to account, the Wii U's absurdly high attach-rate and the fact that there is not a direct correlation between install base and game sales, even 3 million, by doubling already massive sales, seems too optimistic.

Splatoon 2 wont be held back by userbase. It can literally have potential to hit the sky in sales.

 

-portable

-early life title (evergreen title)

-Its the next AC/Pokemon/MH/DQ

 

Your entitled to your opinion, it could do 2mil like you said, but if there is one game thats going to storm the charts, its going to be splat2. Just watch my friend. By years end, splatoon2 will be beyond 2mil easily. All depends on how many switches are out in the wild.

 

If switch is around 4mil this year, i bet splat2 will be around 2.5mil with years of legs :o



Has there been a proper dragon quest game since 8? and is the new dragon quest ps4 game a big budget/epic scale of a game that DQ8 was on the ps2?



Splatoon 2 will most likely easily sell more (Splatoon 2 will easily be 2m+ game in Japan) than individual DQ11 3DS version, or individual DQ11 PS4 version, or individual DQ11 Switch version, but selling more than all those versions combined is a strech.



Poll added



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So splat2 has been unleashed for pre orders. This will be fun. Im starting to season the crow. Tell me what kind do you guys want. Ill prepare to the best i can xD



I think ..........

 

DQ11(3DS)   Under 3 million  

Splat 2           More than 2million                 

DQ11(PS4 )   Under 2 million

 



Switch is hard to get. Splat2 will have insane legs, still going with 5mil+



A slime draws near

Command?

Splat it!

If Splatoon was any indication, Splatoon 2 will have very long legs (tentacles?) while Dragon Quest is very frontloaded. While at launch DQ XI will certainly take the win, Splatoon 2 will grind that advantage away over time, even moreso with the limited supply of the switch.

The question is if it can grind enough to surpass DQ XI total sales - and how well the switch version will sell later on since those sales will be added to total sales, after all.

I think it's possible for splatoon 2 to overtake Dragon Quest XI on the long run, but certainly not during launch



DQ games have sold very poorly in America have they not? Switch is hot right now worldwide, if America catches Splatoon fever assuming people just wamt more Switch games, Splatoon 2 might just have a chance.