Miyamotoo said:
StarDoor said:
Switch has sold 396k so far this quarter, with 7 weeks left to go.
Last quarter, total sales: 475k
Last quarter, first six weeks: 285k
Since the Switch shipped 520k for Q1 FY3/2018, we can probably expect shipments of at least 700k this quarter, assuming they ship an average of at least 45k for the remaining seven weeks.
Judging from the July NPD, the Switch saw a more modest increase in shipments in the rest of the world. In the US, it went from an average of 43k per week to 55k per week. (This is a conservative estimate, since post-Splatoon weekly sales would average 68k) If we compare that against shipments, we can probably expect at least 800k in shipments to the Americas, and 750k everywhere else.
So the Switch can at least reach 2.25 million in shipments this quarter, with the potential to do much higher numbers if the Japanese weekly sales actually indicate significantly increased production. (70k average in Japan, 68k average in US)
Best case scenario:
Japan: 890k
Americas: 950k
Other: 880k
WW: 2.72M |
It seems that Nintendo significantly increased Switch shipments on other markets recently, we had recently info that "All GameStop stores restocking Switch tomorrow for the first time since launch". In other words, it seems they priorities Japan market because Splatoon 2 launch and now increasing shipment on other markets.
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I'm not going to get my hopes up until we see real numbers from other markets. The parts shortage is still in effect, and Nintendo is still predicting that they'll ship 10 million for the entire fiscal year.
If they're really increasing shipments to all regions to the same degree as they have in Japan, then either:
Nintendo is shipping over 13 million for the whole fiscal year or
Nintendo isn't saving any stock for holiday sales.
