RolStoppable said:
Given how high profits can be for Nintendo as a hardware and software maker, it is what the board of directors will continue to pursue even if there are setbacks. There are no indicators whatsoever that Nintendo is considering to bow out of the hardware business. Nintendo is absolutely convinced of their IP strength, so they will leverage that advantage to maintain an ecosystem where they are in full control, because that's the most profitable endeavor. You, however, continue to argue that Nintendo's leadership could be changing their strong stance on a whim. There's no basis to support this notion. Shareholders have asked for years that Nintendo puts their games on smartphones, but no matter how dire the 3DS and Wii U generation was, Nintendo kept insisting that they must think long term and can't harm their own core business. This still holds true today, hence why Nintendo's smartphone games are specifically designed to not hurt their core business, and why it took years until Nintendo made that move. That's why it is a prerequisite to doom the Switch, because otherwise there's no way that Nintendo will decide to give up on making hardware. Switch selling only 25m units has no basis in reality though. It's a hybrid that works as home console as well as a handheld. There's no competition left in the handheld market, so that alone will make Switch pass 25m with ease. Switch is also going to be the only Nintendo platform going forward, so it will have Nintendo's games, it will absorb the 3DS's third party support and it has a good chance to absorb the Vita's third party support too. Switch is not going to suffer from extensive software droughts like the Wii U, for example. Regardless of what you want to believe, you need a couple of big ifs to come true for Nintendo to quit making hardware. Since Switch isn't going to fail, Nintendo's profits will increase dramatically over the next few years. And since profits are the most important thing, all of your arguments will be rendered moot. It won't matter that you could score a point here and there against me, because you aren't going to win the game. You need Switch to fail to have a basis. That's not going to happen. |
And the goalposts continue to move. No indicators? Apparently the Switch is a replacement for both the Wii U and the Switch. If that is the case, that means that five years ago, Nintendo was celebrating a time period when they sold a combined 250+ million units, and now they're supposed to be merging both of those into one unit where they *hope* it might sell 100 million units. That's only a forecast of 60% less units sold over a five year period. In the past year they have released three of their biggest IPs on a non-Nintendo platform. Many well respected analysts view the Switch as Nintendo's last desperation move before giving up on producing dedicated video game consoles. Nintendo is so convinced of their hardware strength that their projected profit is less than half it was just a few years ago. No indicators they're considering bowing out of the hardware space? There's plenty. You're just ignoring them because, you guessed it! Wishful thinking.
The switch selling only 25 million units has no basis in reality? I remember when the Wii U was released. People on this site genuinely thought that there was no way it would sell less than 50 million units. Oops. In fact I wouldn't be surprised at all to go back to those threads and find posts you make arguing until you're blue in the face about Wii U sales, where you blast someone for daring considering the possibility that the Wii U would fail. If I did that everything you were saying was almost definitely dead wrong. I know. You think the launch of the Wii U was totally different because of this this and that whatever, my point is, there is precidence, and again, I said it was a worst case scenario.
Hilariously, again, the crux of your argument boils down to you not being able to imagine a world where Nintendo doesn't succeed. You can't imagine a world where the Switch doesn't sell dozens and dozens of millions of units. You can't imagine a world where Nintendo would release a seperate 3DS successor. You can't imagine a world where compelling games aren't coming out for the Switch everywhere you turned. This is the epitome of wishful thinking. It is motivated by nothing more than your hopes and dreams. Unfortunately for you, dreams and reality are often two seperate things.
There's no point in continuing this, because you refuse to actually consider that Nintendo is capable of not succeeding. Your blind trust in Nintendo has lead to blind arguments. You can go do that with someone else. I have no interest in engaging with someone that insults others for not sharing in their blind optimism.
