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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Wanna predict how much the Switch will sell?

 

How much do you think Switch will sell lifetime?

<10M 39 4.02%
 
10M-20M 125 12.87%
 
20M-30M 137 14.11%
 
30M-40M 143 14.73%
 
40M-50M 121 12.46%
 
50M-60M 120 12.36%
 
60M-70M 70 7.21%
 
70M-80M 60 6.18%
 
80M-100M 60 6.18%
 
> 100M 96 9.89%
 
Total:971

It will probably do pretty good in Japan, but.. I expect only 10-20 million. When Nintendo will release a 3ds successor they will go in competition with themselves.
I really hope that Nintendo is not that short sighted again and still have something up their sleeves.



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30 million.



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badgenome said:
Mummelmann said:

Man, oh man, how I want to hear JL's opinion on the Switch. Then again, we already know the answer. I wonder if he's spouting nonsense in another forum nowadays?

"Nonsense"?! I think you mean "measured analysis."

The most recent thing I've seen from him is this TWO HOUR AND FORTY FIVE MINUTE debate/lecture/alternate history workshop from December 2015.

Woops, sorry! I meant measured analysis, of course!

He has time to hold near three hour lectures on youtube and I know he posts long posts on politics on other sites, but he doesn't even have one minute to come here are eat a truckload of delicious crow. Or even make the mandatory 240 million lifetime sales prediction.



Mummelmann said:

Woops, sorry! I meant measured analysis, of course!

He has time to hold near three hour lectures on youtube and I know he posts long posts on politics on other sites, but he doesn't even have one minute to come here are eat a truckload of delicious crow. Or even make the mandatory 240 million lifetime sales prediction.

It's a good thing he doesn't. I'd hate to see the clever little bastards go extinct.

SAVE THE CROWS!



badgenome said:
Mummelmann said:

Woops, sorry! I meant measured analysis, of course!

He has time to hold near three hour lectures on youtube and I know he posts long posts on politics on other sites, but he doesn't even have one minute to come here are eat a truckload of delicious crow. Or even make the mandatory 240 million lifetime sales prediction.

It's a good thing he doesn't. I'd hate to see the clever little bastards go extinct.

SAVE THE CROWS!



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I'll use my the same prediction I used for the Wii U years ago, which is 45 million if Nintendo gives the Switch a $50 price cut this holiday season. If not, I think 30 million would be a fairly reasonable estimate. It'll all depend on how the Switch performs and is perceived by the market so I might change my prediction accordingly.



40M if they kill the 3DS quickly and keep only one console with both handheld and home console games.

Less than 20M, more like 10-15M if they don't kill the 3DS quickly or even launch a new handheld (and if they don't do a big price cut).



20-25m.I geniunely think this is gonna sale around the same as the N64. Which are not particulary high numbers.



30m LTD



I'll probably regret this.

7.3M in 2017. 65-75M lifetime. (If I could change the lifetime numbers... I would pull them higher.)



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

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