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Forums - Nintendo - Wanna predict how much the Switch will sell?

 

How much do you think Switch will sell lifetime?

<10M 39 4.02%
 
10M-20M 125 12.87%
 
20M-30M 137 14.11%
 
30M-40M 143 14.73%
 
40M-50M 121 12.46%
 
50M-60M 120 12.36%
 
60M-70M 70 7.21%
 
70M-80M 60 6.18%
 
80M-100M 60 6.18%
 
> 100M 96 9.89%
 
Total:971
aris4me on 22 January 2019

Actually, almost 33% was wrong, since it has surpassed 30 mil ;)



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melbye on 22 January 2019

Two years ago i expected 50 million, but now i think it will sell at least 90 million with 100+ being a possibility



BlackBeauty on 22 January 2019

Best selling console of all time.

200 million plus.



Baddman on 22 January 2019

I'm thinking 110 Mill Plus



Wyrdness on 22 January 2019

Updated prediction is around 90m.



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Jranation on 22 January 2019
aris4me said:
Actually, almost 33% was wrong, since it has surpassed 30 mil ;)

Oh yes you are right. I misread the numbers



Pocky Lover Boy! 

super_etecoon on 23 January 2019

Hey guys, you can now check to see what option you chose in this poll (and all other thread polls) if you forgot (like I did). Thanks, TalonMan, for this new feature!



Wman1996 on 23 January 2019

As of early 2019, I'm predicting 70-80 million. So it will outsell the 3DS a little, or sell similar.

Mario, Zelda, Super Smash Bros. all have installments. They move a ton of hardware. The only big hardware movers I think that are left are Animal Crossing and Gen 8 Pokemon. The Switch will probably run out of a lot of steam by mid-2021. Once the PS5 and next Xbox are out, that is going to take a lot of attention away from the Switch.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

The_Liquid_Laser on 23 January 2019

Switch is going to break the record and become the best selling console of all time. Believe it or not, these first two years are actually Switch's slow period. For the first two years, it's mostly just been selling on first party games alone and some indies and old third party ports. Starting in 2019 expect to see a lot more simultaneous releases from third party games and even some third party exclusives.

It's been a really long time since Nintendo had a home console with all of their first party games plus most of the best third party games too. It's going to be like the return of the NES, the most dominant console ever. Although domination in the modern era has a lot bigger stakes than it did in the 80's. Switch will become the best selling console of all time.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

wombat123 on 23 January 2019

I voted >100m when this poll was first put up and I'll stick by that.

Last edited by wombat123 - on 23 January 2019