Prediction time guys! Also, this is my first prediction thread for a big release in Japan after a long time of abstention... Did you missed them? lol
It's not any easy prediction guys as you may think, 3ds is almost six years old, and has hit in a point of saturation in Japan... If the boost is huge, it would be an astonishing occurence, given 3DS age...
Do you need some paradigms? Okay, here there are...
Most recent!
Monster hunter X+Monter Hunter x NEW 3DS XL bundle in the 4th week of last year's November... 133k from the 35k of the third week and 27k of the second week... It was an unexpected huge boost, because of 3DS being aged, saturated and MHX being the third mainline MH game released for the platfom, it's worth to note that the game perfomance is much better on New 3ds xl, therefore some people decided to upgrade their old model.
Monster hunter examples of the past:
Monster hunter 4/no bundle in the forth week of september 2013....284k from 80k of the third week!
Monter hunter 4G+New 3dd/xl release in the 2nd week of october 2014... 262k from 27k of the 1st week!
Paradigms with core Pokemon game releases!
Pokemon X/Y+ Pokemon X/Y bundle in the 2nd week of October 2013... 229k from 120k of the 1st week of october and 132k of final week of september!
Pokemon remake, OR/AS/no bundle in the third week of November 2014 86k from 58k of the second week!
3DS sold 32k last week, up from the 31k of previous week, while it had sold 28k units in the same time frame of 2015! 2DS since it was released, has helped 3ds to be yoy up every week... From the 32k units sold, the 20k were New 3ds xl, 8k were 2ds and 3.6k were new 3ds.
Pokemon S/M were released along with solgaleo/lunala New 3ds xl-2DS and Pikachu New 3ds xl! These are first ever New 3ds xl game themed bundles and are pokemon themed.
Pokemon S/M reached 2700 launch points at comg, while Pokemon XY 2500. Pokemon S/M is the second Pokemon major release for 3ds and that after the Pokemon go mania effect.
Hence, owing to all of these, I feel that 150k 3ds units were sold in the Pokemon S/M in the week that they launched.
This is a somewhat bold prediction, due to 3ds age/saturation, Pokemon S/M release week ( I mean it's less close to christmas ), not knowing if the themed bundles are shipped at high amounts, the not so great sales increasement by Pokemon OR/AS back in 2014 and to a lesser degree, Nintendo switch being on the way. However, I don't care if I have overshot it, I have many successes in my prediction history and after 3ds growth thanks to pokemon go, I'm very optimistic.
So, how much do you think that 3ds sold in the week of PSM release? Also, predict New 3ds, New 3ds xl and 2ds sales, individually.
P.s I have to admit that I was anticipating 200k+ because of all these bundles and 2ds+ its current stock but I end up with something less crazy.
| MEMBERS | 3DS FAMILY ( including old models ) | NEW 3DS XL | NEW 3DS | 2DS |
| TAK13 | 153K | 99.5k | 13k | 39.5K |
| ACEVIL | 75K | |||
| PLATINA | 81K | |||
| Lipejj | 126k | |||
| AnmolRed | 91k | |||
| Ryng_Tolu | 151k | 100k | 10k | 40k |
| Nautilus | 116k | |||
| Jrnation | 121k | |||
| AVERAGE | 122K |
Perhaps 2DS could account for more of the total sales of the past week, thanks to being dirty cheap and oriented to kids.
