There's no point in saving money on developement if your games sell less, dude. In order for games to sell, they need install base. Nintendo was clear that the Wii U/3DS installed base wasn't enough. It's not suddenly going to be so just because the teams are consolidated now. 60m would be a significant loss because less people would be buying their games. 30m would be devastating.

50-60m is my guess as well.

I'm predicting it will sell around 40m units. But to be considered a success I think it needs to crack 50m.

Hard to say. I mean is the 3DS considered a success? Is the XB1? Depends on what it means to the company I guess.

well if it does 40m I think that'd be pretty good. Mobile shrinking and WiiU selling less than 15m means that's a pretty darn good climb percentage wise though of course nothing compared to Wii and DS gen

45-50 million all things considered would be a reasonably passable.

DS did not have to compete with tablets/smartphones, and 3DS also was able to get by a couple of years before smartphone gaming and cheap tablets accessible to kids exploded.

Even comparing to the 3DS in some ways is unfair, Switch has a much steeper mountain to climb.

Less than the Playstation 4, more than the Xbox One.

50M? Depends on how much they are selling this for, and whether it will replace the 3DS as well

I think the NS is going to be faced with two questions. And how it answers them will determine its level of success.

Is it a home console or is it a mobile handheld. If it's lends itself more to one than the other then it will alienate the others user base and support.

Basically, the NS has to be the jack of all trades and master of both. Be a great handheld and be a great console. That's the only way I see it being successful. Should be interesting.

Anything below 50m will show the continuing decline of Nintendo.