Its not done selling yet.... It still has a chance................. A chance....... I'll waitvfor end of year before admiting defeat (by the way xy sold an exra 3mil after year 1)

Wait for holiday period. Mk7 did less than that a couple of times then holiday it didv1.5mil+

Xy had a similar effect once as well

With the new editions releasing its legs will be cut short. 

Though im not gonna fully disagree with you,  in the past pokemon games have shown to habe tremendous legs. Even after the next installment shows up. Hell even DP/HGSS was selling after 3 or 4 installements came out.

Only thing is 3ds is dying so its likely not gonna happen. But if it gets close to it (18mil/19mil) that would be great enough imo

The game shipped 14.69 million in 2016, so my prediction was only 10% down, that's way better than some 10-12 million prediction you saw. Is not like you can say "the game has not sold 16.5 million right now, so your 2016 prediction was bad" , my prediction was closer than many others and in general, i don't think a 10% off prediction can be that bad lol, this is not how things work. If you wanna talk about my 2016 prediction, use 2016 numbers.

Aaaand, by the way, yes, the game can still sell 20 million lifetime. you said you don't follow Pokémon sales, in general probabily don't follow Nintendo sales, so i don't think you know how Nintendo games sells overall. But thanks for bumping this thread, i almost forgot about it.

The game sold a bit less than expected, so right now my 20 million prediction looks a bit exagerate, but it should still easy surpass 18 million, probabily 19 million.

So whatever it sell at the end, is not like i'll care that much about 20 million or not, all i care is that my prediction will be closer than every 15/16 million predictions.

"because 16m was the correct choise and the one that will be the closest" how? Did the game already stopped selling? the game is at 15.91 million right now, don't worry iit will still sell and surpass that 17 million milestone.

XY has sold 4.7 million after 2013, i think you are singing victory way too soon.

XY didn't have a third version, therefore it was the newest (non-remake) pokemon game for over 3 years. Sun and Moon has already been replaced by Ultra Sun and Moon, and the 3ds is soon to be phased out.

Doubling down and saying it could still "probably reach 19m" is just digging yourself even further into a hole. Over the past 6 months it's sold 470k. That's 470k while being the newest pokemon game, which is no longer the case. Ultra has made it a redundant game. It is not getting anywhere near another 3.09m sales.

You made a bad prediction, don't follow that with another bad prediction now you actually have data.

"all i care is that my prediction will be closer than every 15/16 million predictions."

it won't be.

As for me saying your 16.5m in 2016 prediction was really bad, you're right it wasn't as bad as I thought. I didn't realise how frontloaded the sales were.

I did not made a bad prediction, and the prediction is not over, you are just acting like things are confirmed. I'll call this prediction "bad" if in the end sales are just 16-17 million, if in the end the range is 18-19 million, it clearly won't be bad.

You don't have to report me numbers i already know, i know it sold less than 500k in the last 2 quarter but you also have to realize those are sold in numbers and not sold throw, which makes a big difference. The game will sell for years like most Nintendo games, and the fact that 2 new Pokémon games will release doesn't matter that much, so please, go back when the game doesn't sell anymore before saying the prediction was bad.

Can you post quarter shipments for xy/oras/sm? Also bw and bw2 (if you can) it be interesting to see