| Barkley said: So I guess now is as good a time as ever to bump this thread, think it's late enough that we can conclusively say the lifetime prediction is wrong. And it still hasn't sold 16.5m now, so 16.5m in just 2016 was quite the miss. As of September 30th 2017, Pokemon Sun & Moon sits at 15.91m Shipped+Digital. I think there was another thread predicting if it will outsell x/y, only 300k to go, don't think ultra will completely kill s&m sales but I don't really know, I've never followed a pokemon games sales after it's "enhanced" version release. It's also interesting to see that 41% underestimated the game in the poll. This time next year the Pokemon Switch lifetime sales predictions will start. |
The game shipped 14.69 million in 2016, so my prediction was only 10% down, that's way better than some 10-12 million prediction you saw. Is not like you can say "the game has not sold 16.5 million right now, so your 2016 prediction was bad" , my prediction was closer than many others and in general, i don't think a 10% off prediction can be that bad lol, this is not how things work. If you wanna talk about my 2016 prediction, use 2016 numbers.
Aaaand, by the way, yes, the game can still sell 20 million lifetime. you said you don't follow Pokémon sales, in general probabily don't follow Nintendo sales, so i don't think you know how Nintendo games sells overall. But thanks for bumping this thread, i almost forgot about it. 
The game sold a bit less than expected, so right now my 20 million prediction looks a bit exagerate, but it should still easy surpass 18 million, probabily 19 million.
So whatever it sell at the end, is not like i'll care that much about 20 million or not, all i care is that my prediction will be closer than every 15/16 million predictions.
Last edited by Ryng - on 19 November 2017
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