Ryng_Tolu said: The poll. OMFG THE POLL!!!!!!!! Almost half of people predicted less than 15 million lifetime. Good luck lol

Yeah that's almost as silly as selling 20 million.

So yes, call it now, Pokémon MS will sell over 20 million lifetime.

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Expect Pokémon MS to sells 16.5 million only in 2016. Sales breakdown:

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I don't know if people realize that there is a big chance that Pokémon MS first 2 months can be bigger than XY lifetime. And is not only because of Pokémon GO, in general, userbase is bigger and Pokémon brand is stronger than years ago. But i think you will see this holidays, this game is gonna do crazy.

15-18 million range is very pecsimist.

81% you mean, because 16m was the correct choice and the one that will be the closest. Hopefully the second part of your post was sarcasm but I can never tell with you. xD

So I guess now is as good a time as ever to bump this thread, think it's late enough that we can conclusively say the lifetime prediction is wrong.

And it still hasn't sold 16.5m now, so 16.5m in just 2016 was quite the miss.

As of September 30th 2017, Pokemon Sun & Moon sits at 15.91m Shipped+Digital. I think there was another thread predicting if it will outsell x/y, only 300k to go, don't think ultra will completely kill s&m sales but I don't really know, I've never followed a pokemon games sales after it's "enhanced" version release.

It's also interesting to see that 41% underestimated the game in the poll.

This time next year the Pokemon Switch lifetime sales predictions will start.

Pokemon goes on for awhile. 20mil is looking unlikely now but 18mil is possible

Diamond/Pearl say hello 👋 (18mil which is close to 20mil).

Splatoon can it do 3/4/5mil WW lifetime?

Majority of answers including yours bro "New Nintendo IP, wont even hit 1mil". Look where we are now :o

Thats a pretty simplistic, narrow look.  Looking at current info, 3DS is performing far stronger than last year and the year before based on best seller lists, Sun and Moon are also trending better than both past 3DS entries in the series.  And we know for a fact that it is the most preordered Nintendo game ever.  And while Pokemon Go has diminished (being now "just" on the level of Candy Crush and Clash of Clans on Android), empirical evidence has proven that it has had a very real effect on 3DS and Pokemon brand strength, driving sales of both.  Those saying it will fail to outsell XY are ignoring all current evidence to the contrary.  And those saying it won't outsell ORAS are, frankly, being ridiculous.

PS:  Those saying the Switch will slow this down, no.  They've kept the 3DS and Switch at arm's length from each other for that reason.

Oh ok so this is your big argomentation.

Now stop saying stuff like this and reply to this question: how about Pokémon Sun and Moon pre orders higher than COD in some countries (withouth Japan), and how about the most pre ordered Nintendo game ever.