PREDICTION: Pokémon moon and sun will sells over 20 million

[tbone51]

Barkley said:

Ryng_Tolu said: 

So yes, call it now, Pokémon MS will sell over 20 million lifetime.

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Expect Pokémon MS to sells 16.5 million only in 2016. Sales breakdown:

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I don't know if people realize that there is a big chance that Pokémon MS first 2 months can be bigger than XY lifetime. And is not only because of Pokémon GO, in general, userbase is bigger and Pokémon brand is stronger than years ago. But i think you will see this holidays, this game is gonna do crazy.

15-18 million range is very pecsimist.

So I guess now is as good a time as ever to bump this thread, think it's late enough that we can conclusively say the lifetime prediction is wrong.

And it still hasn't sold 16.5m now, so 16.5m in just 2016 was quite the miss.

As of September 30th 2017, Pokemon Sun & Moon sits at 15.91m Shipped+Digital. I think there was another thread predicting if it will outsell x/y, only 300k to go, don't think ultra will completely kill s&m sales but I don't really know, I've never followed a pokemon games sales after it's "enhanced" version release.

It's also interesting to see that 41% underestimated the game in the poll.

This time next year the Pokemon Switch lifetime sales predictions will start.

Pokemon goes on for awhile. 20mil is looking unlikely now but 18mil is possible