Okay, let's take a look at this. Imagine Nintendo going third party. Not only would they lose any licensing fees from third party developers on their systems (granted, not too many in comparision with Sony and Microsoft, but still) they would also earn less from their own games. They have to pay licensing fees themselves. Plus, they wouldn't be able to keep the prices of their games high for long periods of time, like they are doing on their own platforms. Let's also not forget they would lose income from their hardware itself. They are making tons of cash with selling 3DS with hardware from the last decade for 199 €.
Ok, so if we take all that into account, I think it's safe to say that Nintendo's games would need to sell at the very least double than what they are doing on their own platforms. So, what are the chances that Mario Kart would sell 15 million when going multiplatform? What about Mario, could that double the sales of Battlefield 4? Sure, it's possible, but is it guaranteed? I say no, it isn't. And that's also why I think it would be a bad idea for Nintendo to just end each and everything they are working on right now. It's way too risky. If Nintendo goes multiplatform and sells just about the same amount of units like they are doing now, then they are going to lose big time. So for that to happen, it would need an absolute clear indication that sales would go through the roof. I don't see something like that. Nintendo already sells a shitload of games, despite plattforms with a relatively small user base.
It's in no way comparable to Sega. Going multiplatform happened out of desperation. Sega sold very few games, in no way comparable to Nintendo's franchises. Plus, they didn't sit on a big fat pile of money. Going multiplatform or even mobile isn't a safe bet for Nintendo, it could also be the start of the end.
At the moment, I see absolutely zero chance of it happening. Sorry. Try again in 10 years. I'm sure Nintendo will be still doomed by then.