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Forums - Nintendo - Pachter Says Pokemon GO's Success Will Fade In 4 Months Due To Laziness

SuaveSocialist said:
Who is this Pachter guy? This is the third thread I've read about some insane prediction of his.

Shhhh! Go back to sleep. Pachter is just a mythical creature we created here, and will only speak of him when people are being bad! There, there, there.....your just having a nightmare.

OT: I hope Pokemon Go lasts a while to help Nintendo refill those coffers. Which in turn they can spen on decent R&D



                                  Gaming Away Life Since 1985


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Teh Analyst God spoke.

All hail Teh Analyst God!

 

 



Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")
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TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW! 
 


SuaveSocialist said:
Who is this Pachter guy? This is the third thread I've read about some insane prediction of his.

You must be new here. He's been around for ages, and he's gained quite the reputation with his reputations - especially the inaccurate ones.



glimmer_of_hope said:
SuaveSocialist said:
Who is this Pachter guy? This is the third thread I've read about some insane prediction of his.

Shhhh! Go back to sleep. Pachter is just a mythical creature we created here, and will only speak of him when people are being bad! There, there, there.....your just having a nightmare.

Thatmakes a lot more sense than his predictions.  Well, I'm off to bed.



If the physical activity was going to be a dealbreaker, it would have shown immediately. It doesn't take people several months to recollect their distaste for walking. If and when Go dies, it will be for some other reason.



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I'm sorry but those thinking this is going to fade are crazy. Kids, when they get excited, do things over and over again. I remember when I was a kid, I could watch the same movie everyday for like a week if I liked it (and enjoy it like I was watching it for the first time). When you're a kid, you don't get bored of things nearly enough. I have seen so many kids, teenagers, and adults in 20's/30's on this game and I have two thoughts on why it won't fade:

1) The kids won't get bored. Everywhere I go I hear kids talking/referencing pokemon now. This is basically becoming the next minecraft to them, which is funny because minecraft was this past generation's pokemon (at least in terms of what it meant to their and us 90's kid's childhood). It isn't going away in their minds.

2) The older demographic, the one that grew up with pokemon, loves this return to their childhood. But more importantly, this group (of which I am part of) is also fitness obsessed (or at least increasingly becoming so). If we weren't, things like Fitbits would have died upon landing, but they did just the opposite. I am a teacher, and myself including a ridiculous amount of other staff members at my school have fitbits and are obsessed with competing with one another and burning calories and getting healthy. Pokemon Go only enhances that experience, and people ARE treating it like a fitness app (I love how it has the badges for distance walked).

Miitomo sucked, had no fitness application, and didn't even have game elements to it (unless you consider answering questions a game, which I don't). I stand by my prediction I made in a previous thread:

In 5 years after release, this game will have acquired 100 million downloads globally.



Considering Sun and Moon just so happen to launch about four months after Go, this is the safest prediction one can make. Either it dies off because everybody flocks to the new Pokemon game - a possibility, I've seen many who are now looking forward to Sun/Moon after having not played any Pokemon in years - or it keeps going past that and nobody remembers because Pachter says something else ridiculous in a month.



You should check out my YouTube channel, The Golden Bolt!  I review all types of video games, both classic and modern, and I also give short flyover reviews of the free games each month on PlayStation Plus to tell you if they're worth downloading.  After all, the games may be free, but your time is valuable!

That means it'll be even more successful and make Nintendo even more $$$! Seriously though, he's been known to be awfully wrong, so I take his word for little. Though he is correct in which if Nintendo doesnt update this game consistantely, it will lose its edge.



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

Patcher should go visit any college campus in the US. There were hundreds of people at 8p on a Tuesday playing Pokemon Go.



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danielrdp said:

OK. I know I should just ignore him, but I can't. How come he gets paid to make comments like this. 

Coming from analyst Michael Pachter

“The game requires couch potatoes to get off the couch, and the novelty will wear off when they get tired or when their phone batteries die. I give this four months at the top of the charts, then it will fade.”


Because people keep going to his website to read them, thus giving him ad revenue. If everyone stopped, so would his income from the comments.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.