Like I said those are my opinions, lets see what happens, but he is getting beat pretty soundly by Clinton in a majority of polls, I think there's like one of 20 (the Rassmussen phone survery) were he's up on Clinton by 2 points. In the CNN poll he's down 13, even with Fox New he's down 5.
I think you're kidding yourself too if you don't think Latinos are going to mobilize and come out en masse to vote in this election. You don't insult someone like that and think they're just going to forget about it. This will likely be the largest Hispanic turn out I would bet.
And more women vote than men these days 54% of voters were women in the last election and I don't see that declining as there will be plenty of excitement for making Clinton the first female president (identity politics as you say).
your assuming he insulted latinos and that they dont agree with his policies. Latinos who emigrated here legally will support trump, latino and conversatives have far more in common than latinos and democrats. They left mexico and south american countries to get away from the kind of politics the left plays. Illegal immigrants are not the same as legal migrants. Latinos that have emigrated here legally dont want to see the same thing happen to america that has happened in their countries of origin, crime, corruption, and lack of a good future. We shall see in the end. But Trump may be the first republican to make California Red again, a gme changer! I wouldnt generalize all mexicans/latinos as the same, they are a diverse group and most are not the wild and crazy protestors that you have seen in Califonria lately, most are hard working citizens who dont want their neoghborhoods to go to crap with crime and gang violence.
I dont see why women would support hillary either. She doesnt treat women as good as trump, she has to deal with bill and his constant cheating and covering up, she doesnt give more pay to women on her staff. She may well be woman who identifies as a man. who knows.
Right now the economy and foreign policy will be what people decide their vote on, and right now the democrats have killed the economy and the world is in distress due to their policies. time for change. not too mention the repulicans have been electing more local officials than deomcrats over the lasst 8 years, thank obama for that.