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Forums - Nintendo - When will the wii past america 360 sales?

Reggie said BY June... You gotta think that it will be true.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

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Fastrabbit09 said:
Mummelmann said:
Hmm, tough call, the summer lull will surely slow down all three.

summer won't slow down wii in US...it'll still continue to sell out...and wii fit will only drive the demand MUCH higher


 Again, you seem to think that the Wii is somehow magic and not affected by industry woes. Even last summer, in its first full ww year with a lot less production it failed to sell out in the slow summer months.

I'm not surprised you answered me, and I find it comical that you believe you have prophet powers and can see things that others clearly admit they can't. Beliveing something or thinking or feeling something is one way of wording, but stating your every sentence as fact makes you look somewhat foolish to be honest. Its also quite sad that every nickle and dime you own rides solely on one game, a game that costs almost twice as much as others.

Why is it you can't stand to see someone believe differently? You were a lot more balanced before, even JL and A_T are more balanced now. 

 



Fastrabbit09 said:
Coglestop said:
At the current rate, it'll be awhile yet.

Currently: 11.23mil vs 9.8mil, so 1.43mil gap to make up

Currently: Wii sold 58k more than 360 last week in Americas

Conclusion: 24 weeks at current rate

However: the week before it lost by 3k to 360...so u can't take the 58k/week as the norm...NPD shows that Wii outsold 360 in US by 177,400 units in February, making the consoles only 8 months away from being even at current rate

 


Thank you for actually using sales numbers to support your opinion. If it now were based even more on vgchartz numbers, and considering important seasonal effects, then the answer would be very interesting.

I am always surprised how few members actually use sales data in sales related topics. Even if Reggie says so.... 



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Mummelmann said:
Fastrabbit09 said:
Mummelmann said:
Hmm, tough call, the summer lull will surely slow down all three.

summer won't slow down wii in US...it'll still continue to sell out...and wii fit will only drive the demand MUCH higher


 Again, you seem to think that the Wii is somehow magic and not affected by industry woes. Even last summer, in its first full ww year with a lot less production it failed to sell out in the slow summer months.


i could not walk into a store last summer here in the US and expect to find a Wii in stock...i could get to a store within an hour of wiis being on shelf and grab one, but i couldn't walk in at a random time and find one

i consider that to be sold out...when all wiis sell the day they are put on the shelf, they are sold out

and i've stated many times that i believe wii would sell all 2008-produced wiis by 12/31/08 even if wii fit/mario kart/brawl weren't coming out, so i am not betting solely on wii fit

wii fit is just going to make the demand even more insane than it already is

 

perhaps i simply have a different perspective than u since i had to get to best buy 5 hours early a few sundays ago to get a wii and i can still make $75/wii on craigslist during March 16 months after launch..and i get multiple calls every day, even when the ads are a month old

 

 

 



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp

i would say june or july



Manchester United 2008-09 Season - Trophies & Records

Barclays Premier League 2008-09: 1st // UEFA Champions League 2008-09: Finals (Yet To Play) // FIFA Club World Cup: Winners // UEFA Super Cup: Runners-up // FA Cup: Semi-Finals // League (Carling) Cup: Winners // FA (Charity) Community Shield: Winners
Records: First British Team To Win FIFA Club World Cup, New Record for No. Of Consecutive Clean Sheets In Premier League, New English & British League Records for Minutes Without Conceding, New Record For Going Undeafeated In Champions League (25 games ongoing), First British Team To Beat FC Porto In Portugal, First Club To Defeat Arsenal At The Emirates In European Competition, First Team In English League Football History To Win 3 Titles Back To Back On Two Seperate Ocassions
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Predicting it at this point is largely futile, thanks to the fact that we don't know how much production is being hiked up for the next fiscal year. Nintendo's US branch head honcho did say it'll be around the mid-point of the year, but that could just as easily have been a misunderstanding or a spur-of-the-moment declaration with no plans to back it up. In practical terms, they'd have to massively up shipments to the US to break the 1.43 million unit gap in only 9 to 13 weeks' time (which would be the timeframe Reggie was predicting). We're talking doubled shipment sizes, possibly even larger. It is possible, but again, how can we know without knowing how big the production hike for the new fiscal year is?



Sky Render - Sanity is for the weak.

By the end of this Summer......Unless Nintendo stops shipping Wiis tommorow...



 

Sometime in the summer, maybe by late june