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Mummelmann said:
Fastrabbit09 said:
Mummelmann said:
Hmm, tough call, the summer lull will surely slow down all three.

summer won't slow down wii in US...it'll still continue to sell out...and wii fit will only drive the demand MUCH higher


 Again, you seem to think that the Wii is somehow magic and not affected by industry woes. Even last summer, in its first full ww year with a lot less production it failed to sell out in the slow summer months.


i could not walk into a store last summer here in the US and expect to find a Wii in stock...i could get to a store within an hour of wiis being on shelf and grab one, but i couldn't walk in at a random time and find one

i consider that to be sold out...when all wiis sell the day they are put on the shelf, they are sold out

and i've stated many times that i believe wii would sell all 2008-produced wiis by 12/31/08 even if wii fit/mario kart/brawl weren't coming out, so i am not betting solely on wii fit

wii fit is just going to make the demand even more insane than it already is

 

perhaps i simply have a different perspective than u since i had to get to best buy 5 hours early a few sundays ago to get a wii and i can still make $75/wii on craigslist during March 16 months after launch..and i get multiple calls every day, even when the ads are a month old

 

 

 



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp