tbone51 said:
Digital is huge for hzd. I still believe hdz is ahead of LoZ. But LoZ will leg out better. We will see a better picture of this next npd.
As of right now (or end of march) i believe a good estimate of hzd+zelda shipped+digital is...
4.5mil-4.8mil HDZ
3.5mil-3.7mil LoZ
Next 1quarter LoZ will ship at around 50% more than hzd is my bet.
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So we know that Vgchartz doesn’t track digital.
The figure they provide for HZD as of March 18th is
2,355,000
The figure Sony provided for the first two weeks is
2,600,000
Let’s say HZD sold around 400,000 units digitally in its first two weeks that sounds about right, right?
Thats 2,200,000 phisical and 400,000 digital as of march 15th. Now let’s add another 150,000 for the 16th, 17th, and 18th, (being optimistic) to line it up with Vgchartz. That would put it at 2,750,000 as of March 18th does that sound reasonable? So for HZD to reach around 4,7 million units (like you predicted), it would need to sell another 2 million units in the remaining two weeks of march.
That seems like a really big number when you consider that HZD in the week ending March 18th only sold 158,000 in retail, and let’s say about a fourth of that digitally, some 40,000 units so about 200,000 in total for the week ending March 18th. Let’s say for the two weeks following March 18th, HZD sells just as much (again being optimistic) so 200,000 for the week ending March 25th, and another 200,000 for the week eding april 1st . it would put total sales of HZD at 3,150,000 for March. So if Sony says they sold 2,600,000 within the first two weeks. My reasoning would leave another 550,000 for the rest of the month. Since we know that the game is heavily front loaded I would say that is a far more realistic number, wouldn’t you agree?