Soundwave said:
I don't see the console doing very well at all. Probably the same group of 10-15 million people who bought the Wii U. The GBA and 3DS both outsold their console counterparts by like a 4:1 ratio, that means 80% of people who bought Nintendo hardware said "hell no" to a Nintendo console in both of those gens. The Wii was different because it brought in casuals/soccer moms whom Nintendo has since lost, but even there the DS still blew the Wii's sales away by 50 million LTD. So now the portable is going to have basically all the main IPs ... I don't think very many people will pay $300 to play the same games on TV with better graphics. Especially when so many people will already own a PS4/XB1 by then. I will if that's what they offer, but I have a launch day Wii U and four (yes four) different 3DS models. I'm not the average consumer.
If they have two devices, and they play largely the same library, then I think it's going to be a 4:1 or even 5:1 split in favor of the portable in the real world.
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I think it's pretty silly to assume that the bolded is indicative of some kind of rejection of the idea of a Nintendo home console being desirable. They sold better because they were better products. If the home consoles were better products, those people would have bought it. Or not. There isn't some overlap in the markets. They were, and still are, extremely independant of each other.
The NX, as a plaform, won't be. I think that the handheld will definitely sell better, because it's cheaper, because of Japan, and again because it's cheaper, but I think the home console will have a very solid chance of selling exeptionally well in the west too. It will finally be doing everything right from a hardware power POV, it will have the installed base to be worth it financially for third parties, and it will have the first party output to put out a constant stream of games. I think it has a very fair chance of selling 2:1, if not then less of a difference.
People in the West just like gaming on come consoles better, so when having to chose, far more will chose the superior powered home console rather than the cheaper and more portable handheld, even if they already own the PS4/XBO.