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Forums - Nintendo - Nintendo is expecting to ship 20 million NX consoles in the first year

 

Can they reach the goal?

Of course it will 64 17.58%
 
They're insane... 300 82.42%
 
Total:364
Lawlight said:
Cream147 said:
In what way was the Wii "lucky"? But yeah, it won't do 20 million.


In the way that it became a fad. Fads are lucky strikes.


There was nothing lucky about Wii, Nintendo had a plan and executed it very well for the first few years.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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Err... if its after dropping the WiiU like a rock... no chance. It will do 2m at best on the home market and if its a handheld it will do a bit more. Either way, it sounds like they are commiting the same mistake they did with the Wii U by severely overestimating demand.



sultanofpoon said:
zorg1000 said:

3DS+Wii U first year shipments were about 20 million, that's with software droughts, bad marketing, and high prices. 


3ds + w-u LOL.  Anything can be big if you start combining 2 different products.

..... 

Are you being serious? You can't be serious, right? 



Nem said:
Err... if its after dropping the WiiU like a rock... no chance. It will do 2m at best on the home market and if its a handheld it will do a bit more. Either way, it sounds like they are commiting the same mistake they did with the Wii U by severely overestimating demand.


U seem pretty adamant on dropping Wii U early hurting Nintendo when it's been proven to u that such things have happened multiple times to great results.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

This is according to Digitimes research.

Digitimes are a unique information source for readers who need to know about the supply side of the semiconductor, electronics, computer and communications industries. They are based in Taiwan and are usually the source of iPhone related rumours and the such.

In the console space they do have a supply chain tracking service however a lot of their articles have been either outright wrong or half right. Recently digitimes ran an article stating that Microsoft would show their own VR/AR headset at E3 2015 and that the headset would release in 2015.

Now obviously we know there will be no headset releasing in E3 now. But digitimes were right about the product being demoed at E3. In other articles they have got stuff 100% wrong usually pertaining to release dates.

I would take this article with a pinch of salt as we still do not know what NX is, nor will it be releasing in June next year as Nintendo would have confirmed this by now.



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Well, if it's a handheld/console fusion it's easily obtainable. Especially if the price tag is $149. Because if you look at Wii/DS sales combined, they could easily reach over 50m in a year so idk why this couldn't hit 20m in a year



XBOX ONE/Wii U/3DS/PC

RIP Iwata 12/6/1959-7/11/2015

Thanks for all the great memories!

zorg1000 said:
sultanofpoon said:


3ds + w-u LOL.  Anything can be big if you start combining 2 different products.


Ummm the person u originally quoted said if it's a type of unification of handheld & console, if that happens than its only logical to compare it to both devices.

I suppose a big share of the early adopters who bought the Wii U in its first year also bought the 3DS in its first year... so a few million early adopters bought both devices; there was also enough time between the 2 launches to save some money for the second device.

But if the NX-handheld and the NX-console get released in the same year and play both the same games... how many of the Nintendo hardcore base will again buy both devices within the same year instead of choosing one of them?



zorg1000 said:
sultanofpoon said:


3ds + w-u LOL.  Anything can be big if you start combining 2 different products.


Ummm the person u originally quoted said if it's a type of unification of handheld & console, if that happens than its only logical to compare it to both devices.


No it isn't because it would be one device....not 2 seperate launching in two different time periods...one device will not be the same as a dedicated handheld and dedicated console.



sultanofpoon said:
zorg1000 said:


Ummm the person u originally quoted said if it's a type of unification of handheld & console, if that happens than its only logical to compare it to both devices.


No it isn't because it would be one device....not 2 seperate launching in two different time periods...one device will not be the same as a dedicated handheld and dedicated console.

How do u know it's only one device? Last year Iwata spoke about how a unified approach could possibly lead to them increasing the amount of former factors.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
sultanofpoon said:


No it isn't because it would be one device....not 2 seperate launching in two different time periods...one device will not be the same as a dedicated handheld and dedicated console.

How do u know it's only one device? Last year Iwata spoke about how a unified approach could possibly lead to them increasing the amount of former factors.


Unified approach does not mean 20 million year one...the market for people who want to play Handheld games on a big TV is noit large, and the handheld market is shrinking...Whats the point of a handheld if you can;t take it with you? If they cater to the handhld market the home onsole market suffers, and nig scale AAA games don;t work well on a mobile platform...you cannot marry the two.

 

Its not as simple as them saying w are unifying the two and it will work, trhe two models conflict.