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Forums - Sales - Will Splatoon be able to outsell any major exclusives from Sony or Microsoft this year?

Fusioncode on 05 June 2015
Skullwaker said:
TheObserver said:
You have it the other way around. Online Only games like Splatoon are the ones that sell most of the LT sales in their first week, and then drop off quickly. look at stuff like Titanfall, and Evolve. 

And Souls games have ridiculous legs, infact their opening numbers only account for less than 20% of the LT sales. 

That may be true for other Souls games, but I don't think it will be the case for Bloodborne. It's an exclusive, and it had a massive FW, so I don't think many more sales are going to come out of it (at least in relation to how much the other Souls games sold after their respective openings). I'm thinking 2-2.5m max LT.

If Bloodborne sells 2.5m lifetime (and I think it'll go above 3m) it should beat Splatoon handily. I hope you're not actually expecting this game to have Mario Kart/Pokemon legs. You're going to end up very disappointed. Just be satisfied with Splatoon selling 1.5-2m copies in it's lifetime. For a WiiU game that's quite an achievement!



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Ryng on 05 June 2015
Fusioncode said:
Skullwaker said:

That may be true for other Souls games, but I don't think it will be the case for Bloodborne. It's an exclusive, and it had a massive FW, so I don't think many more sales are going to come out of it (at least in relation to how much the other Souls games sold after their respective openings). I'm thinking 2-2.5m max LT.

If Bloodborne sells 2.5m lifetime (and I think it'll go above 3m) it should beat Splatoon handily. I hope you're not actually expecting this game to have Mario Kart/Pokemon legs. You're going to end up very disappointed. Just be satisfied with Splatoon selling 1.5-2m copies in it's lifetime. For a WiiU game that's quite an achievement!

BloodBorne have not legs. And we already see. In both Japan and US is dropped like a rock. +3 million lifetime is not gonna to happen. Splatoon will not have the Mario / Pokémon legs, but will definitive have better legs than BloodBorne.



Fusioncode on 05 June 2015
Ryng_Tolu said:
Fusioncode said:

If Bloodborne sells 2.5m lifetime (and I think it'll go above 3m) it should beat Splatoon handily. I hope you're not actually expecting this game to have Mario Kart/Pokemon legs. You're going to end up very disappointed. Just be satisfied with Splatoon selling 1.5-2m copies in it's lifetime. For a WiiU game that's quite an achievement!

BSplatoon will not have the Mario / Pokémon legs, but will definitive have better legs than BloodBorne.

Highly doubt that. I really don't see Splatoon outselling Bloodborne. 



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Ryng on 05 June 2015
Fusioncode said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

BSplatoon will not have the Mario / Pokémon legs, but will definitive have better legs than BloodBorne.

Highly doubt that. I really don't see Splatoon outselling Bloodborne. 

Maybe you forget that the first week, at least in Japan, Splatoon sell equal to BloodBorne. and only because the undershipment, if not, it should probabily outsell BloodBorne by a decent margin. Who know, maybe 20k, maybe 50k... and don't say "even BloodBorne was undershiped"

BloodBorne sold some like 87% of the total shipment first week.

Splatoon sold 97% of the total shipment.

Not even close.

 

So, we only expect to see how will sell Splatoon in the rest of world. If will sell at BloodBorne level, or maybe a little under like in Japan... nope, absolutely no way for BloodBorne sell more lifetime.

 

Nintendo games legs >>>>>>>>>>> Sony games legs. Even if we don't talk about Mario.



Fusioncode on 05 June 2015
Ryng_Tolu said:
Fusioncode said:

Highly doubt that. I really don't see Splatoon outselling Bloodborne. 

Maybe you forget that the first week, at least in Japan, Splatoon sell equal to BloodBorne. and only because the undershipment, if not, it should probabily outsell BloodBorne by a decent margin. Who know, maybe 20k, maybe 50k... and don't say "even BloodBorne was undershiped"

BloodBorne sold some like 87% of the total shipment first week.

Splatoon sold 97% of the total shipment.

Not even close.

 

So, we only expect to see how will sell Splatoon in the rest of world. If will sell at BloodBorne level, or maybe a little under like in Japan... nope, absolutely no way for BloodBorne sell more lifetime.

 

Nintendo games legs >>>>>>>>>>> Sony games legs. Even if we don't talk about Mario.

The world is bigger than Japan, Ryng. What exactly are you expecting Splatoon to sell lifetime? 



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97alexk on 05 June 2015

even as a huge nintendo fan, no i dont think so



xboxonefan on 05 June 2015

It will outsell teraraway unfolded but not halo or the uncharted collection froza 6 idk 



outlawauron on 05 June 2015
curl-6 said:
The Order 1886 is beatable.
It has a head start and a bigger userbase, but it wasn't as well received.

That is a very mild statment. Game was universally panned before and after release. 

curl-6 said:
TheObserver said:

Are you seriously lumping Splatoon with Smash and Mario Kart?lol

I think it'll be more in line with stuff like Wonderful 101, or at best Pikmin.

In terms of raw numbers? Of course not.

I am suggesting that Splatoon will have the classic Nintendo legs that so many of their franchises have, though.

And you do realize Wonderful 101 is at 330k sold after nearly two years, right? If you want to make a bet that Splatoon will sell around that amount, I'll take it anyday. A month of sig and avatar control?

Also, VGC is way off on this one.



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Ryng on 05 June 2015
Fusioncode said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Maybe you forget that the first week, at least in Japan, Splatoon sell equal to BloodBorne. and only because the undershipment, if not, it should probabily outsell BloodBorne by a decent margin. Who know, maybe 20k, maybe 50k... and don't say "even BloodBorne was undershiped"

BloodBorne sold some like 87% of the total shipment first week.

Splatoon sold 97% of the total shipment.

Not even close.

 

So, we only expect to see how will sell Splatoon in the rest of world. If will sell at BloodBorne level, or maybe a little under like in Japan... nope, absolutely no way for BloodBorne sell more lifetime.

 

Nintendo games legs >>>>>>>>>>> Sony games legs. Even if we don't talk about Mario.

The world is bigger than Japan, Ryng. What exactly are you expecting Splatoon to sell lifetime? 

Of course i agreed with this, but seem legit expect more sales in the US, and why not, even in Europe (For the Europe not first week, but lifetime, and in the US, both first week and lifetime). 90% of WU games sell more in the US than in Japan.

I predict +200,000 for Splatoon in May NPD, and other +200,000 in June. that's will make Splatoon at +400,000 unit sold in 6 week just in the US. (Mario Kart 8 sold +800,000 in May+June NPD of last year if i remember correctly)

I already say my Splatoon prediction, and i think will sell around 3 million... if not, 2 million to 2.5 million... 1.5 million is too low IMO.



Fusioncode on 05 June 2015
Ryng_Tolu said:
Fusioncode said:

The world is bigger than Japan, Ryng. What exactly are you expecting Splatoon to sell lifetime? 

Of course i agreed with this, but seem legit expect more sales in the US, and why not, even in Europe (For the Europe not first week, but lifetime, and in the US, both first week and lifetime). 90% of WU games sell more in the US than in Japan.

I predict +200,000 for Splatoon in May NPD, and other +200,000 in June. that's will make Splatoon at +400,000 unit sold in 6 week just in the US. (Mario Kart 8 sold +800,000 in May+June NPD of last year if i remember correctly)

I already say my Splatoon prediction, and i think will sell around 3 million... if not, 2 million to 2.5 million... 1.5 million is too low IMO.

I don't know man, I think you might be overshooting this one. 



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