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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Can Splatoon Sell/Ship 4mil+ Copies WW Lifetime? [UPDATE: 4.06mil By First Years End Only!)

z101 on 24 June 2015

Yes



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SuperNova on 24 June 2015

It has some serious Nintendo legs! It should get another bumb around August with the big update and then again around christmas.
Tbone, how do we know it has 1.1 mil sold in 4 weeks? Was there any kind of announcement or were japanense numbers alone enough to push it over? I haven't really seen any western numbers beyond first/second week.



PAOerfulone on 24 June 2015

My God, Tbone was really on to something with this game...
4 Million Lifetime is looking like a strong possibility now.



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tbone51 on 24 June 2015
taus90 said:
would be surprise if it even breaks 1 million


How surprised are you?



tbone51 on 24 June 2015
hsrob said:
Mummelmann said:

Let's cross 1 million first and celebrate that and then see the drop-off in weeks 2,3 and 4 and make another guess. Better yet; let's see what happens in 2016, it will surely depend on great long-term sales to reach into the several million territory.

Exactly this.


Exactly In under a Month?



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tbone51 on 30 June 2015
Mummelmann said:
tbone51 said:


TBF not to long ago 2mil was flat out ludicrous and 1mil was somewhat grounded in a possible reality.

This game definetly has a wide range of an outcome, yes 4mil is far ahead. Its not going to be close to 3mil am i right!


I still think 2 million is on the borders of crazy, we don't really have data besides reports of 80% sellthrough in Japan on initial shipment, which is not uncommon for games with good pre-order numbers and many seem to assume that it will do amazingly in the US (about double that of Japan FW) while I think that this could be its weakest region by some margin, relative to market size, price and lack of content being the primary reasons.

And I still don't  believe this will be a so called evergreen title; a game built almost entirely on online community and shooting has no history or pedigree on any Nintendo platform and there are an endless number of alternatives for someone who wants competitive online multiplayer, most of these being both bigger and filled with more content.

It's not going to be close to 3 million, you're right... Let's cross 1 million first and celebrate that and then see the drop-off in weeks 2,3 and 4 and make another guess. Better yet; let's see what happens in 2016, it will surely depend on great long-term sales to reach into the several million territory.


Well look at that, just 1.08mil In under 25 Days Looks like many underestimate This game huh buddy :P

Guess we dont have to wait intill 2016, splatoon isnt only killing it, it has legs and in japan is a massive hit and becoming the best new original  ip this generation after YW!!! :0



tbone51 on 31 July 2015
KingdomHeartsFan said:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=202606&page=1

5m thread soon?


3mil thread seems tooooo EASY By now

4mil thread seems to be a good goal, still up in the air

5mil thread seems to be a stretch but not impossible anymore, maybe i should do one? ;-D



Ryng on 01 August 2015
tbone51 said:
KingdomHeartsFan said:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=202606&page=1

5m thread soon?


3mil thread seems tooooo EASY By now

4mil thread seems to be a good goal, still up in the air

5mil thread seems to be a stretch but not impossible anymore, maybe i should do one? ;-D

PLEASE!!!!!!!!!!!! GET IT GET IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :D :D :D :D :D



Ryng on 01 August 2015
Slade6alpha said:
tbone51 said:

4mil now isnt a prediction, im asking if it has a chance. Im thinking 2.5mil-3mil~ish For Lifetime for example, but 4mil might be a tad bit high, but might not be impossible.

Anywayz risky move on your account xD

If it happens, I hope someone necros this post, just to get me perma banned  

Hope it sells well though. 

Bye slade. You was a nice guy.



Ryng on 01 August 2015
binary solo said:

Why are you doing this to this poor game? Putting ideas out there of Mario like sales is setting it up for disappointment.  Have modest expectations, like 1million and if it gets a lot over that then have a big party. If you put ideas of 4 million into people's heads then selling ~2 million will be perceived as low.

And now this game is going to sell 5 million. Funny how the thing change...