o_0

In the US lifetime? In the US this year? Worldwide this year? Worldwide lifetime? in any case not a chance.

i just remembered that 2008 was the year MGS4 and GTA4 released, so that must be part of the reason why the PS3 is doing so well compared to the PS4, but i expect next year to be quite different... or maybe im wrong since 2009 was one of the best years for the PS3 (maybe the best one with games like Uncharted 2 and Demons Souls)

also PS2 is just a f#cking beast...

PS3 sold 4.35 million in 2009, compared to the 3.5 million of 2008.

For a comparation, PS4 has sold 4.7 million in 2014, and is currently down YOY.

PS3 YEARLY SALES:

2006: 0.7 million
2007: 2.5 million
2008: 3.5 million
2009: 4.3 million
2010: 4.3 million
2011: 4,5 million ( peak year )

And what X1 numbers do you expect then ?

That's a thing to say it wont break WII/360 numbers even if it could, that's an other to say it wont break PS3 numbers, it's kinda obvious it will by a good amount , consoles are sold by marketing deals mostly, in one year, PS4 has much more sgnificant marketing deals than PS3 ever had. Or you forgot that PS4 is already 3,5M ahead of PS3 in the same time frame ? And the gap will greatly increase this year with all these marketing bundles, PS4 will win by a considerable margin the last 4 months, increasing the gap by 1,2-1,3M at least, so the gap will already be close to 5M.

PS4 would be really unlucky to not reach 40M at the very least in US, it's pretty much a given at this point, especially when you know 2016 will be 2 times bigger than 2015 in terme of big releases.

So 100M should be really easy to reach , +10M in US at least, + 10M in Europe ( already tracking 5M ahead of PS3 in the same time frame), and i dont even count the rest of the world . So saying it wont be easy to reach 110M ? Maybe, but 100M will be a joke for PS4

XBO will end at 20-25m, and i expect PS4 at 30-35m.

40m is too much, that's why:

1) Wii sold 42m. Wii has sold 20 million only in 2 years ( 2008: 10.2m, 2009: 9.6m ). The Wii was selling for >400k all NPD in 2008, with some month at 600-700k, and nearly 4 million only in December 2009... ( best NPD ever )

2) The X360 has sold 43m. X360 has sold with some of the stronger legs ever, it sold discrete the firsts years, and like a monster since 2010, in 2011 the 360 has sold nearly 7.3 million... For a comparation, the PS2 peak is 8.6 million. And this 1 million difference was because the stronger December, in the other month, the 360 was seriusly close with PS2... In short, the 360 has sold with strong legs, and in some year at beasting level, beasting level that currently crushing PS4.

For example, even with the super strong Batman bundle, PS4 is not even close with the June 2011 of the 360, which was over 500k.

In short. That's why i don't think PS4 will sell 40m. It must sell at Wii level ( super megaton momentum ) or like 360 ( super legs and super sales ).

In both case, is unlucky. We all know this gen will be shorter than last gen, that's why PS4 will not have the 360-PS3 legs, and of course, will never sell over 10 million in a year like the Wii.

Wii was selling for 500-700k in a normal NPD in 2008, and 360 300-500k in a normal NPD of 2011... I can't see PS4 to sell over 300k all month even withouth games.

360 sold 48M and Wii 45M based on vg chartz
And PS3 30M

I dont think this generation will be much shorter, 1 year at best

NPD is US only, vgchartz is americas.  This thread is about NPD sales.

That's NA, not US, and the 360 is heavy overtracked in the US.

the numvers that i post was confirmed by NPD. Well tecically are by end of 2014, but still, both 360 ans Wii now are death. ( expecially the Wii. )

Mhh okay, well i was talking about NA then, makes more sense