oniyide said:
zorg1000 said:
People really need to stop using DS/PSP generation as a standard to base things on. Here are the sales for each of Nintendo's handhelds
Game & Watch-43 million
Gameboy (89-96)-54 million
Gameboy (97-03)-64 million
Gameboy Advance-81 million
Nintendo DS-154 million
Nintendo 3DS-51 million (rising)
People seem to forget that Gameboy was a 2 generation handheld so it's 118 million sales don't explain the full story. When stacked up against each individual generation, 3DS sales don't look too bad, it's actually on track to sell just as well as Gameboy did during the huge Pokemon phenomenon.
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im basing it on the PRIOR generation which generation should i base it on? OK whats your point? its a decline even if we go back another generation and compare it to GBA its still a decline and GBA was only on the market for 3.5 years so that doesnt paint 3ds in a better light, its actually makes it look worse.
So again i will ask what will Nintendo do to stop the decline, casue best case scenario it becomes stagnant. Now tell me how that is a "good future"
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Because when a single generation is literally 3x as much as the previous (GBA-80m to DS/PSP-240m) it's clearly not the norm, I'm saying look at the full picture, not just one single data point.
GBA was on the market for 6 years, not 3.5 years.
If we are to exclude Nintendo DS (clear outlier) & Game & Watch (didn't have interchangeable cartridges) and take the average of the 3 Gameboy generations (54, 64, 81) than we get about 65 million on average for the Gameboy family which is right about what 3DS is set to sell.
None of the Gameboy generations were seen as having an uncertain future so why are handhelds now not seen as one despite selling similar numbers?
We literally only have seen one generation of decline, we have no idea if that decline will continue, it's just as possible that sales will stagnate or even rise. What if Nintendo finds the next Pokemon or Minecraft craze among kids?
What I'm saying is a 50-80 million install has a strong future, especially when u have games like 2D Mario, 3D Mario, Pokemon, Smash Bros, Animal Crossing, Mario Kart that are all capable of selling 10+ million per game.