| XtremeHDGamerX said: I really don't understand why people think Xbox one will overtake PS4 in the US with no real advantage like the Xbox 360 had.
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How did it manage to beat it during the holidays though? It had none of those advantages (save for 50$ on price); yet it won by a very significant margin. Halo MCC caused all this on its own? The PS4 has had bigger and longer boosts from all multiplatform hardware released in 2014 and yet the One managed to snag the victory in November and December, what exactly caused this if the One has no chanche against the PS4? Games like Final Fantasy and Gran Turismo are among the most successful PS franchises in the US but both have suffered massive declines, leaving pretty much multiplatforms to do the job. Meanwhile; the xbox brand still has a lot of exclusive, big IP's for the American market and you might also have noticed that the One is actually neck-and neck with the PS4 in software sales in NA and has 11 million sellers versus 9 on the PS4.
Key titles such as Battlefield 4 have more or less the exact same sales despite the PS4's installed base advantage and COD: Advanced Warfare actually has around 400k more sold on the smaller One installed base in NA, what does that tell us?
Assassin's Creed: Black Flag has a whooping 500k more on the smaller installed base of the One, and Assassin's Creed: Unity has sold around twice as much on the One, with 1.57 million versus 770k on the PS4.
COD: Ghosts has sold more as well.
So; the PS4 has a 10% (or roughly 700k) installed base advantages and yet the One has higher sales, often with a good margin, on those key pieces of software and has significantly better sales with its exclusives, with the biggest success on the PS4 in this regard actually being a remake of a PS3 game (TLoU).
The battle is far from over, we should not underestimate the power of the xbox brand in the US nor should we disregard MS' willingness to secure this key market. What most people are doing is the same old "well, this is what helped someone win in the past but these conditions are not met so it won't happen this time around" that they have done on countless occassions and with other consoles, it falls right into the same category as "PS4 will outsell the PS2, PS4 will outsell the Wii".
PS: One year head starts are overrated; look at the Wii U, N64 and others, didn't help them much. Live still has certain advantages; Sony has terrible speed on some of their servers (updates are known for being amazingly slow, among other things) and have been hit by several hacker attempts (some of which were successful) and security scandals and is generally seen as more unstable (I have had tons of problems with PSN for years no matter the settings and connections I use and I'm not the only one).
I'm not saying that the One is guaranteed to win the US but thinking so holds just as much merit as thinking the PS4 will; what happens at the start of the generation is more often than not telling the whole story, or have we already forgotten the Wii's massive yoy declines and the PS3 and 360's climb up to really good sales figures and very late peak after a really sluggish first few years?
