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Forums - Nintendo - Prediction: Xenoblade Chronicles X Will Be A Bigger System Seller Than MK8/SSBU (in Japan)

tbone51 on 06 February 2015
KingdomHeartsFan said:
tbone51 said:


95% of games in japan dont break the 100k barrier lifetime, and XC sold over 150k as a new ip. Its no bomb

Where did u get that from?


it was an estimate of mine, but if i had to say why... (2014) http://m.neogaf.com/showthread.php?t=977096

Top 79 games of last year hit over 100k (on single platforms) with actually some of those being multiplat. How many games come out per year? I know 3ds had close to/around 150 and there were more ps3/psv games last year.

Ok then maybe 85%-95% of all games (i dont have all the numbers).



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SjOne on 06 February 2015
tbone51 said:
SjOne said:
It doesn't have local multiplayer so don't count on it


Wait What? If anything that helps it out no? SSBU+MK8 you dont need to buy because your friend has it but with XCX you need your own practically :0


No because the games that have sold the game have a perfect blend of local and online multiplayer, not to mention from widely popular franchises. Also, I don't see how XCX can push sales when even Super Mario 3D World couldn't.



fatslob-:O on 06 February 2015
KingdomHeartsFan said:
tbone51 said:


95% of games in japan dont break the 100k barrier lifetime, and XC sold over 150k as a new ip. Its no bomb

Where did u get that from?

He's certainly wrong on that one ...



KingdomHeartsFan on 06 February 2015
tbone51 said:
KingdomHeartsFan said:

Where did u get that from?


it was an estimate of mine, but if i had to say why... (2014) http://m.neogaf.com/showthread.php?t=977096

Top 79 games of last year hit over 100k (on single platforms) with actually some of those being multiplat. How many games come out per year? I know 3ds had close to/around 150 and there were more ps3/psv games last year.

Ok then maybe 85%-95% of all games (i dont have all the numbers).

Games under 79 have passed 100k.  You said 95% of games don't pass 100k lifetime.



tbone51 on 06 February 2015
fatslob-:O said:
KingdomHeartsFan said:

Where did u get that from?

He's certainly wrong on that one ...


lmao, you might want to think that over XD



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KuyaFrank on 06 February 2015

I disagree. Even though it's Japan, I think Mario Kart and Super Smash have a way bigger fan-base than X so...



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tbone51 on 06 February 2015
SjOne said:
tbone51 said:


Wait What? If anything that helps it out no? SSBU+MK8 you dont need to buy because your friend has it but with XCX you need your own practically :0


No because the games that have sold the game have a perfect blend of local and online multiplayer, not to mention from widely popular franchises. Also, I don't see how XCX can push sales when even Super Mario 3D World couldn't.


pikmin 3 push more than sm3dw so i guess xcx has a chance



tbone51 on 06 February 2015
KingdomHeartsFan said:
tbone51 said:


it was an estimate of mine, but if i had to say why... (2014) http://m.neogaf.com/showthread.php?t=977096

Top 79 games of last year hit over 100k (on single platforms) with actually some of those being multiplat. How many games come out per year? I know 3ds had close to/around 150 and there were more ps3/psv games last year.

Ok then maybe 85%-95% of all games (i dont have all the numbers).

Games under 79 have passed 100k.  You said 95% of games don't pass 100k lifetime.

i said 85-95% of games dont (first i was just guesstimating). Im not wrong^ 



TheGoldenBoy on 06 February 2015
tbone51 said:
TheGoldenBoy said:
Didn't you say the same thing for SSB in comparison to MK8?

Anyways, I doubt it. It might give a week or two boost, which most games tend to do, but I think Wii U sales will return to pre-launch levels again.


Yes i did, i made a wrong prediction, dont know wat it has to do with this? My other much much bold prediction i recently had people thought i was crazy and i was close to the mark... (SSBU+3DS hitting close to 10mil Shipped by years end)!  Since we are talking about my predictions of course, I can name all the crazy/unbelievable ones i got right if you like :0

As for your second comment, im talking just week of launch not long term^

It wasn't meant to be a shot at you. I was just trying to say to keep expectations in check. Also, can we really call XCX a bigger system seller than MK8 even if it has a better launch week? MK8 raised the Wii U's baseline from 30k to approximately 55k, that is a true system seller. Any game can give a one week boost, it happens all the time.



KingdomHeartsFan on 06 February 2015
tbone51 said:
KingdomHeartsFan said:

Games under 79 have passed 100k.  You said 95% of games don't pass 100k lifetime.

i said 85-95% of games dont (first i was just guesstimating). Im not wrong^ 

Well you said 95% then decided to change it.  Again why are you not wrong?