By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Microsoft - prediction: Xb1 will reach 25 mil by the end of 2015.

It would have to more than double it's lifetime which includes 2 holidays. This is an incredible tall order and I don't believe anyone has ever done that



Around the Network

I'd say XB1 will sell between 11 and 13 million for the year.



Intel Core i7 3770K [3.5GHz]|MSI Big Bang Z77 Mpower|Corsair Vengeance DDR3-1866 2 x 4GB|MSI GeForce GTX 560 ti Twin Frozr 2|OCZ Vertex 4 128GB|Corsair HX750|Cooler Master CM 690II Advanced|

teigaga said:
DerNebel said:
You should elaborate on that prediction a little, what would make sales explode like that?

I personally would say 25m is the absolute max, 20m is certain in my opinion though

Reason being

New pricepoint: XBox only spent Nov and December at its 349 pricepoint, the majority of the year it was either more expensive or equal to PS4. We all saw how its sales exploded in November, obviously it was partially down to the big games (Halo MCC, COD, GTA)  and Holiday bump, but we saw its sales jump proportionally bigger then the PS4's due to the new pricepoint. On that basis alone its reasonable to expect things to be up YOY, throughout the majority of 2015 it will cheaper then the competition something Xbox was not last year.

Xbox is out in all regions, unlike last year where it didn't launch everywhere till Q3. A small but notable add to its sales being up YOY.

Big holiday momentum. We all saw how much big microsoft numbers were in Q4 and no one predicted them to be that high, it sold 6m in the second half of 2014.That is going to have a trigger effect on how it does during the beginning of this year, we all know that people don't just buy systems in a isolate manner they get what they're friends have. With the gains xbox had recently, it should snowball into better sales going forward, the system now has a positive buzz surrounding and is no longer the flop system with DRM.forced kinect etc. Of course with  COD/GTA/Halo/AC Unity/ Dragon Age/Far Cry all continuing to push hardware sales for the next month or so, I think its sales will be strong in Q1. 

Superior software line up over 2014. Last year Xbox Q1/Q2 had Theif (cross gen), tomb raider (a year old remaster), titanfall (cross gen) and Watch dogs (cross gen)at the very end of May. Compare that to this years line up consisting mostly of next gen exclusives: Dying Light, Evolve, Final Fantasy Type 0, Witcher 3, Batman Arkham Knight, Dead Island 2 and cross gen titles like Battlefield and Mortal Combat. In what world would sales not be up significantly at comparing the line ups. I'm assuming Evolve and Witcher 3 are big hits which isn't garunteed but if you want to keep up with gaming in the next few months you're gonna need either a PC, PS4 or Xbox One somethin that wasn't the case last year. 

Superior fall line up. Quantum break, Halo 5, Tomb Raider, Forz 6, The Division, StarWars Battlefront 3, Hitman (all next gen exclusives- probably plenty more yet to be announced, maybe even COD? unlikely but possible). I expect Microsoft to be just as competetive as they were this year and hit the 299 pricepoint during the holiday. 

I think across both PS4/X1 sales will explode, the most simple reason being developers have finally moved on from last gen so gamers will be forced to aswell.

Still not enough to reach 14 millions maybe with 150$ price cut but this will never happen.

I think it will have a year with 14m but not this year

I doubt Forza 6 will be a 2015 game



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

kinisking said:
Teeqoz said:


Out of curiosity, what is your PS4 prediction?

 

The XBO was 349 (in the US) in the two single biggest sales months. November and December account for a huge part of console sales. I really don't see this as likely it all.

35 mil. 


So you think the PS4 will only sell 3.5 million more than the XBO in 2015, when it sold 6 million more in 2014?



kinisking said:
DerNebel said:

The $350 is according to MS only for a limited time as well.

Also you should really explain how you think that whole thing is going to happen, where is it supposed to sell all these units? Cause outside the US and the UK the sales of the system have been miserable, do you expect sales to pick in those regions or do you expect most of 14 million to come from the US and UK? How is this going to work?

Look at op. Plus we all know it's not a limiter time lol

Well we'll see, I still find your line of thought to be a little too optimistic.



Around the Network
Teeqoz said:
kinisking said:
Teeqoz said:


Out of curiosity, what is your PS4 prediction?

 

The XBO was 349 (in the US) in the two single biggest sales months. November and December account for a huge part of console sales. I really don't see this as likely it all.

35 mil. 


So you think the PS4 will only sell 3.5 million more than the XBO in 2015, when it sold 6 million more in 2014?

DID I FUCKING STUTTER. lol jk xD
but yeah.



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion

kinisking said:
Teeqoz said:

So you think the PS4 will only sell 3.5 million more than the XBO in 2015, when it sold 6 million more in 2014?

DID I FUCKING STUTTER. lol jk xD
but yeah.


I have a heard time figuring how this prediction works in relation to your sig.



It has a chance, but around 20m is more likely



DerNebel said:
teigaga said:
DerNebel said:
You should elaborate on that prediction a little, what would make sales explode like that?

I personally would say 25m is the absolute max, 20m is certain in my opinion though

Reason being

New pricepoint: XBox only spent Nov and December at its 349 pricepoint, the majority of the year it was either more expensive or equal to PS4. We all saw how its sales exploded in November, obviously it was partially down to the big games (Halo MCC, COD, GTA)  and Holiday bump, but we saw its sales jump proportionally bigger then the PS4's due to the new pricepoint. On that basis alone its reasonable to expect things to be up YOY, throughout the majority of 2015 it will cheaper then the competition something Xbox was not last year.

Xbox is out in all regions, unlike last year where it didn't launch everywhere till Q3. A small but notable add to its sales being up YOY.

Big holiday momentum. We all saw how much big microsoft numbers were in Q4 and no one predicted them to be that high, it sold 6m in the second half of 2014.That is going to have a trigger effect on how it does during the beginning of this year, we all know that people don't just buy systems in a isolate manner they get what they're friends have. With the gains xbox had recently, it should snowball into better sales going forward, the system now has a positive buzz surrounding and is no longer the flop system with DRM.forced kinect etc. Of course with  COD/GTA/Halo/AC Unity/ Dragon Age/Far Cry all continuing to push hardware sales for the next month or so, I think its sales will be strong in Q1. 

Superior software line up over 2014. Last year Xbox Q1/Q2 had Theif (cross gen), tomb raider (a year old remaster), titanfall (cross gen) and Watch dogs (cross gen)at the very end of May. Compare that to this years line up consisting mostly of next gen exclusives: Dying Light, Evolve, Final Fantasy Type 0, Witcher 3, Batman Arkham Knight, Dead Island 2 and cross gen titles like Battlefield and Mortal Combat. In what world would sales not be up significantly at comparing the line ups. I'm assuming Evolve and Witcher 3 are big hits which isn't garunteed but if you want to keep up with gaming in the next few months you're gonna need either a PC, PS4 or Xbox One somethin that wasn't the case last year. 

Superior fall line up. Quantum break, Halo 5, Tomb Raider, Forz 6, The Division, StarWars Battlefront 3, Hitman (all next gen exclusives- probably plenty more yet to be announced, maybe even COD? unlikely but possible). I expect Microsoft to be just as competetive as they were this year and hit the 299 pricepoint during the holiday. 

I think across both PS4/X1 sales will explode, the most simple reason being developers have finally moved on from last gen so gamers will be forced to aswell.

You gave a good enough explanation for why the system should be up YoY, which I'd say nobody really tried to deny, but 25 million still seems to very much be stretching the realms of possibility. That would be an utterly insane YoY increase and kinda need Sony to just sit there and do nothing all year, which I find highly unlikely.

I have a hunch we will all be surprised by general hardware sales in a few months, but I of course could be very wrong. What the PS4 achieved last year was completely underserved IMO, I think that shows that there really is an appetite for new consoles. I said reaching 20m is a given referencing the above, I expect 25m to be in the realms of possible if the next Call of Duty is next gen exclusive, The Devision becoming the next big thing, Starwars being a mega seller (likely seeing as releasing alongside the movie and the public has been starved of a contempary star wars game) other big games being announced for the Winter, Microsoft throwing money at more devs,  Xbox hitting the 299 pricepoint. I couldn't say what specifically would allow it but I wouldn't put out the question. I'll also just throw in that I expect X1 to peak earlier then PS4.




Teeqoz said:
kinisking said:
Teeqoz said:

So you think the PS4 will only sell 3.5 million more than the XBO in 2015, when it sold 6 million more in 2014?

DID I FUCKING STUTTER. lol jk xD
but yeah.


I have a heard time figuring how this prediction works in relation to your sig.

I changed my mind a little since i wrote my sig. besdies i think 2015 will be more even in sales than any of the other years.



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion