prediction: Xb1 will reach 25 mil by the end of 2015.

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teigaga said:

DerNebel said:
You should elaborate on that prediction a little, what would make sales explode like that?

I personally would say 25m is the absolute max, 20m is certain in my opinion though

Reason being

New pricepoint: XBox only spent Nov and December at its 349 pricepoint, the majority of the year it was either more expensive or equal to PS4. We all saw how its sales exploded in November, obviously it was partially down to the big games (Halo MCC, COD, GTA)  and Holiday bump, but we saw its sales jump proportionally bigger then the PS4's due to the new pricepoint. On that basis alone its reasonable to expect things to be up YOY, throughout the majority of 2015 it will cheaper then the competition something Xbox was not last year.

Xbox is out in all regions, unlike last year where it didn't launch everywhere till Q3. A small but notable add to its sales being up YOY.

Big holiday momentum. We all saw how much big microsoft numbers were in Q4 and no one predicted them to be that high, it sold 6m in the second half of 2014.That is going to have a trigger effect on how it does during the beginning of this year, we all know that people don't just buy systems in a isolate manner they get what they're friends have. With the gains xbox had recently, it should snowball into better sales going forward, the system now has a positive buzz surrounding and is no longer the flop system with DRM.forced kinect etc. Of course with  COD/GTA/Halo/AC Unity/ Dragon Age/Far Cry all continuing to push hardware sales for the next month or so, I think its sales will be strong in Q1. 

Superior software line up over 2014. Last year Xbox Q1/Q2 had Theif (cross gen), tomb raider (a year old remaster), titanfall (cross gen) and Watch dogs (cross gen)at the very end of May. Compare that to this years line up consisting mostly of next gen exclusives: Dying Light, Evolve, Final Fantasy Type 0, Witcher 3, Batman Arkham Knight, Dead Island 2 and cross gen titles like Battlefield and Mortal Combat. In what world would sales not be up significantly at comparing the line ups. I'm assuming Evolve and Witcher 3 are big hits which isn't garunteed but if you want to keep up with gaming in the next few months you're gonna need either a PC, PS4 or Xbox One somethin that wasn't the case last year. 

Superior fall line up. Quantum break, Halo 5, Tomb Raider, Forz 6, The Division, StarWars Battlefront 3, Hitman (all next gen exclusives- probably plenty more yet to be announced, maybe even COD? unlikely but possible). I expect Microsoft to be just as competetive as they were this year and hit the 299 pricepoint during the holiday. 

I think across both PS4/X1 sales will explode, the most simple reason being developers have finally moved on from last gen so gamers will be forced to aswell.

Still not enough to reach 14 millions maybe with 150$ price cut but this will never happen.

I think it will have a year with 14m but not this year

I doubt Forza 6 will be a 2015 game