I think 500k is doable, Kirby games generally sell pretty consistently. I honestly don't think this game cost Nintendo that much to make (especially considering they're selling it at $40) so I think they would be happy to hit that mark.

Exactly. That would mean $20m in sales... "Rainbow Curse" didn't cost that kind of money to make.

80%?!Seriously ,80% is a hyperbole!Forget what you are thinking!You are implying 2.8m wii u in Japan LT by saying that wii u reached the 80% of its customers!

And who says that slowing won't give its place to resurging if nintnedo make again the killer bundles that it had in 2013 that made wii u to perfom surprisingly good in Japan!

The games that are releasing in 2015 (I know they won't make miracle but it's worth to mention them) or a great boost given from pokken tournament that has great pontential and being on arcades firstly is a big advantage because when it will be stopped from arcades and come to wii u, some who were playing it on arcades that I m almost sure that will be many( Pokemon with karate, Japanese will fall in love with that) and don't have wii u would like buy it for the game or if they always want a wii u for the other games this will may be finally the system seller for them!

Lastly,a yokai watch u/monster hunter arrival (yeah is just an assumption but is quite possible) on wii u would help it  a lot!

Wii U vs. GC JAPAN!http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=967319&page=5

Code:

week 107 - 2,074,356 / 2,461,742 -387,386 week 108 - 2,123,283 / 2,472,619 -349,336 week 109 - 2,166,297 / 2,481,951 -315,654 GC LT= 4,040,000 units

 

 

 

This in order you to understand that 80% is an exaggeration in hard numbers! You would say the same for gc back on 13th of January 2004 by your logic! WII U & GC difference is being reduced! GC sold another 1.56m till the end, so it had sold in the same time frame with wii u to the 60% of its customers(2,468m),consequently, flat out wii u must have sold to the 60%(This translates to 3.6m LT) because they stacking favorably with gc  or maybe to 50%  of its customers which would mean same sales with gc something that is probable as the gap is decreasing considerably for wii u!

 

Or even to the 40-45% of its customers (This translates to 4.5-5m LT, i.e more than gc) because of the aforementioned but mainly of the possible killer bundles,i .e bundles that have many offerings which means saving a lot of money by buying them (not bundles with one game at full price) and the fact that gc sold 2,482m till its 109th week and had two consecutive price cuts of 50$ and 50$ in that time frame, wii u has sold 2,167m till 109th week without any price drop!

 

Let see what will happen when wii u will get its first brave/real price cut and why not a sequntial one like gc! keep in mind that the gap is already decreasing...

P.s Save these posts as I will do ,to see who will be right and of course for bumping them in the future...

This is getting off-topic ...

Prove what I'm implicating to be a hyperbole then! 

Resurgence for a platform only occurs IFF (IF AND ONLY IF) WHEN there is presence of NEW AND HIGH QUALITY games. Do you think the 3DS or the PS3 would have redeemed themselves in only having been bundled with old games ?

Assumptions, assumptions assumptions ... 

Newsflash, I never apply the same tactics each generation. Every veteran knows that the playing field always resets each generation hence why you don't see a lot of the "playstation is invincible" mentality anymore when the PS3 tanked ...

A price cut won't mean much in the end to Japan since the 2015 lineup to them is weaker than the 2014 lineup ... 

I'm expecting to see sales similar to Captain Toads. I don't think it matters if it sells well or not, Nintendo is just trying to get some quality titles on their system.

It'll be like Bayo 1, a 'game of the generation' that sells like shit.

There's nothin stopping 2015 from being a better year for wii u in japan. it's not like it's a 5 year old console. there is no market saturation.

and just to make sure, you think wii u will only sell another 400k in japan for the rest of it's life?

There is something stopping the WII U from selling more in 2015 and it's called "games that Japan are interested in" ... The only game that Japan is even remotely interested in this year for the WII U is Kirby and pre-order numbers don't look too encouraging ...

Did you do your arithmetic correctly ? Cause (2.13 x 1.25 = 2.66) and (2.66 - 2.13 = 0.53) so yes I think the WII U will only be able to pull off 530K for the rest of it's life in Japan ... 

The WII U barely even pulled off 500K last year in Japan while suffering a 40% drop from 2013 ...

Depends what you mean by " selling well".. I honestly don't see the game reaching 1 million!

A traditional Kirby game would have sold well (more then Captain Toad), this game will do worse then Toad, probably 200k LT but thats fine its a budget title and I'm not even sure its getting a retail release?