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Forums - Sales - What will be the Sony official 2008-09 fiscal yr shipment target for PS3.?

makingmusic476 on 05 March 2008
Ail said:
makingmusic476 said:
They will initially forecast 15 million, but only hit 11-12 million.

They are currently selling 175k units/week.

 

A year has 52 weeks, typically November is x2 a regular month and December x4.

So November is like adding 4 weeks and December like adding 12.

Make it a 68 weeks. ( 52 + 4 + 12)

175k x68 = 11.9 Millions.

That's if sales stay at their current level.

It's not unrealistic to expect them to go up with the games coming out this year...

 

14 Million would be the realistic thing to announce but they should shoot for 15 millions.

 

 

 


I think/hope that they'll sell closer to 14 million this year, given the current release slate, but I was being conservative. :P

Really, it depends on the success of LBP, and whether or not KZ2 turns out great.  They could turn that into a seller as big as Gears if it's good and they market it right.



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outlawauron on 05 March 2008

I think they forecast 15 mil, and they have another big price cut ....

Maybe 16-17 mil.



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Noobie on 05 March 2008
outlawauron said:
I think they forecast 15 mil, and they have another big price cut ....

Maybe 16-17 mil.

16 - 17 million means that PS3 suddenly repeating a PS2 like success... Not quite possible.. 15 million will be upper limit i think.



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akuma587 on 05 March 2008

13-15 million seems about right. I am going to go with 14.



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___O_o______ on 05 March 2008

they're gonna announce 13-14 million
but probably14-16 million by end of next march.. hopefully :)



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BKK2 on 06 March 2008

Agree with a few other, think they will forecast 15m.



HappySqurriel on 06 March 2008

Sony's previous fiscal year shipment total was 11 Million which would have meant that Sony shipped a total of 14.5 Million units; recently they lowered it to 9.5 Million units which implies a total shipment of 13 Million systems. What this all means is that Sony (currently) has a shipped inventory of (roughly) 2 Million units beyond what they have sold so it is highly unlikely that they will be able to ship many more units than they sell.

With how the PS3 is selling (so far) in the first quarter of 2008, the PS3 is selling at an anualized rate of (roughly) 12 Million units. In my opinion any shipment total that is noticeably higher than 12 or 13 Million units will (likely) not be met and Sony would be fools for suggesting it.



Diomedes1976 on 06 March 2008

They will announce 13 million shipped until end march .....and probably target some 15 million for fiscal year ending march 2009 .



Slimebeast on 06 March 2008
Ail said:
makingmusic476 said:
They will initially forecast 15 million, but only hit 11-12 million.

They are currently selling 175k units/week.

 

A year has 52 weeks, typically November is x2 a regular month and December x4.

So November is like adding 4 weeks and December like adding 12.

Make it a 68 weeks. ( 52 + 4 + 12)

175k x68 =  11.9 Millions.

That's if sales stay at their current level.

It's not unrealistic to expect them to go up with the games coming out this year...

14 Million would be the realistic thing to announce but they should shoot for 15 millions.


Yeah, good job with the numbers. I agree on 12 mill sold with current trend*, then 1-2 extra millions thanks to games and even a possible late price drop, which gives 13-14 mill sold to consumers. Thats what Sony will predict. But the retail channel might be a bit stuffed by the current fiscal year shipments, so a gap up to 15mill shipped seems a little high, so I predict Sony will play it safe and forecast 14 million shipped PS3s in Fiscal 2008-09.

* Although I believe VGC right now is overtracking both the X360 and the PS3 world-wide (mainly the US numbers by 20%), 13-14 mill for the Fiscal year is possible.