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Forums - Sales Discussion - Analyst says X1 will equal PS4 in 2015 and have same userbase longterm

AlfredoTurkey said:
DonFerrari said:

http://www.gamepur.com/news/17511-analyst-xbox-one-strong-sale-will-continue-and-installed-base-will-equal.html

 

Recently, well known industry analyst Michael Pachter stated that PlayStation 4 will continue its lead over Xbox One in 2015 all thanks to "Phenomenal Exclusive Line-Up" and Microsoft will announce another (second) price cut for Xbox One (considering the fact that Xbox One will start selling at $399 price point after Jan 2). There is another analyst (Independent) who thinks this is not going to be the case, and he is "Billy Pidgeon".

In a recent interview to GameIndustryBiz, Billy Pidgeon stated that Sony will not maintain PlayStation 4's out of the gate lead this console cycle. In 2015, Xbox One's installed will be equal to PlayStation 4's and in the long run, both consoles will be evenly matched, neither Sony nor Microsoft will dominate.

Here are the exact words of Billy Pidgeon on PS4 vs Xbox One Battle In 2015:

Source

I have my suspicions he based his analysis in some vgc prediction threads... Because when even Patcher drops this expectations it requires a lot of hope to see X1 priced back to 400 equals PS4 WW... unless his global is also limited to USA and he expected the price to stay 350.

I could be wrong, but I'm guessing these guys are talking about US sales only.


Yes, you could. But I don't think it is the case here.

 

He is imprecise but the alternative wouldn't make any sense. But even USA isn't as certain as he sounds, with price hike will be hard to recover the 500k gap in 2015.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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Most likely talking about US, cause outside well.....

 



Qwark said:
bananaking21 said:

if he is talking about worldwide sales then......

 


How do you guys at vgchartz sometimes put it globally in the US or something. The gen is still young so I don't rule out anything but this staments seems highly unlikely.


Because that is a globally in vgc famous meme imortalized by the King of predictions TheDrill.

 

He said X1 would sell better than ps4 globally. But when contested with data he said he meant globally in USA. One of those cases of usa=world.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."