How many Amibo figures will sell lifetime?

IkePoR

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IkePoR on 22 November 2014

Seece said:
If you have 5 million core WiiU owners that buy 15+ figures over the course of the WiiU's life that is already 75 million!

Personally I think it's closer to 2 or 3 figures per owner so 10-15 million.

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KyleeStrutt on 22 November 2014

Take into account that amiibos aren't WiiU only, we know that they'll also work with the New 3DS and quite possibly future Nintendo hardware.

It's impossible to predict for me personally-

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Tachikoma on 22 November 2014

tbone51 said:

Tachikoma said:

tbone51 said:

Tachikoma said:

Unless they make a deal with disney for licensed figures i'd say < 10m total.

Disney infinity and skylanders water down the market greatly, and frankly most kids would choose a disney character over a nintendo character.

Really^ arent disney+skylanders still going strong? Also amiibos dont mainly target them (not saying it do just not primarily).

That said i think under 10mil is too low, if amiibos were ony for SSB and SSBU sells abut 5mil lifetime, thats an avg of 2 amiibos per consumer, the avg should be highr than that no? Question is how much. OF COURSE IT COULD DO WAT YOU SAID....... And that be kinda bad :0

Thats assuming every single owner of the game, current and future, will actually buy them.

i never said everyone, i said avg. Many people will buy 4,5,6, 10+.

Example if 10 people bought all 48, that means 480 amiibos sold right? Well that makes up for 240 people right there. Im not saying alot of people will do this, but for every person who buys 6/8/10 amiibos puts the avg sold much higher.

Also like i pointed out, Its not only for SSB. Somebody like Curl from here doesn't play SSB but might like Zelda/star fox just for a costume for MK8. (cuzim sure not everybody with amiibo is a smash fan). Link is a gret example of this (HyruleWarriors!!)

actual sales of figures wont be that high, because most games that will support it will end up being bundled with a free figure.

Im not counting those free bundled figures in with my no higher than 10m estimate.

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tbone51 on 22 November 2014

Tachikoma said:

tbone51 said:

Tachikoma said:

tbone51 said:

Tachikoma said:

Unless they make a deal with disney for licensed figures i'd say < 10m total.

actual sales of figures wont be that high, because most games that will support it will end up being bundled with a free figure.

Im not counting those free bundled figures in with my no higher than 10m estimate.

SSB + MK8 will be WiiU biggest games on the system. None of those are bundled free with an amiibo. HW has been out, so thats gone, Captain Toad released in Japan and coming in 2 weeks here in the US. Thats no amiibo bundled, and as of now i tink we have Kirby+Mario Party 10+YoshiWolly world with amiibo support.

So i'll go out and say this. I bet Nintendo, onlyif they mention it will announce ovr 10mil sold by end of year (quarter 3 reports).

Your welcome to comeback and let me kno i was right :P

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346 455 760 individual toys will be sold to the market by the time they are discontinued.

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VGPolyglot on 22 November 2014

A lot of people may buy it without even getting a Wii U or 3DS, so I predict...1 to 1000 million sold. Anywhere in that range I think is most likely.

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Tachikoma on 22 November 2014

tbone51 said:

So i'll go out and say this. I bet Nintendo, onlyif they mention it will announce ovr 10mil sold by end of year (quarter 3 reports).

Your welcome to comeback and let me kno i was right :P

You're on.

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Maraccuda on 22 November 2014

Hard to say. should sell more than Skylanders and Disney Infinity if the stock is kept to a high level.

In saying that I have no idea how much Skylanders or Infinity have sold.

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How many Amibo figures will sell lifetime?
Under 5 million	8	9.88%
5 - 10 million	6	7.41%
10 - 20 million	6	7.41%
20 - 35 million	14	17.28%
35 - 60 million	6	7.41%
60 - 100 million	9	11.11%
100 - 150 million	11	13.58%
150 - 225 million	2	2.47%
225 million or more	19	23.46%
Total:	81

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