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Forums - Gaming - Predict In Order, Top 10 SKU's of November NPD! (No Numbers Needed)

tbone51 on 16 November 2014
Ka-pi96 said:
tak13 said:

FACEPALM!At least you should have smash bros 8th...smash bros n64 the least selling smash, has almost triple difference with the best selling far cry and the best selling assasin creed is above it with a 25k difference!I will repeat,everyone should do a research before posting...

Don't Nintendo fans always say that Nintendo games have great legs and other games are very frontloaded? So it would make sense if games like AC and Far Cry were to outsell it to start with, no?

Damn right! But Far Cry 3 on X360 released Early Dec in 2012, and that game did 592k for the entire month (did better than ps3 version). FC4 releaseson the 18th and it will have less days in comparison and though it has BF, so does every other game and Dec>Nov.

You can keep your prediction, to each their own. (just wanted to let you kno though, cuz i thought FC3 sold close to that of AC.

 

@tak13: Just do your prediction and we'll compare everybody and see who's TRULY RIGHT :P



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Ninsect on 16 November 2014
tbone51 said:
Ninsect said:
tbone51 said:
Ninsect said:

We usually get some hints about the top 10 individual SKUs but definitely not the whole list. I say we should predict the usual top 10 instead

 

If so I'd say CoD>GTA>AC>Halo>FC4>Smash>DA:I>Pokemon>Pokemon>LBP3>LB3. Am I forgetting something major?


You can still do Individual,as we do get breakdowns, and this month is indeed a huge one.

You forgot AC: Rogue and SSB 3DS has a chance to be up there. I


No, we don't! We only get breakdowns within each game like #1. CoD (PS4, XB1, 360, PS3) #2. GTAV (PS4, XB1). We don't know how the individual SKUs line up with each other

AC: Rogue won't make the top 10. I don't think SSB 3DS will either.

Ok for AC Rogue,but as for SSB 3ds, not saying it'll make it but it has a chance to. Your top 10 have LBP3 in it. LBP2 did 382k first 3 weeks, so LBP3 can do about 500k-800k depending on how it does. SSB 3DS was 495k+ last month. If it were a normal month, it would decrease anywhere between 180k-300k, but its only week 6-9 for the game and in Nov.

Lastly... Last November, we got Numbers and/or Breakdowns for each platform http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=174214

LBP3 has a launch bundle..on BF, which will sell gangbusters. Plus it's on two platforms. I think Smash can do 500k+ but LBP should make it to about 600k+ (~450k on PS4). Unfortunately the bundle won't be counted though ;o

 

Like I said, we only get the top 10 combined SKUs with breakdowns per platform. We don't know how each SKU lines up between different games.



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Mr_No on 16 November 2014

1. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (PS4)
2. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (XB1)
3. Halo MCC (XB1)
4. Grand Theft Auto V (PS4)
5. Grand Theft Auto V (XB1)
6. SSB for 3DS (3DS)
7. Dragon Age: Inquisition (PS4)
8. Far Cry 4 (PS4)
9. Far Cry 4 (XB1)
10. Assassin's Creed Unity (PS4)



tbone51 on 16 November 2014
Ninsect said:
tbone51 said:
Ninsect said:
tbone51 said:
Ninsect said:

 

Ok for AC Rogue,but as for SSB 3ds, not saying it'll make it but it has a chance to. Your top 10 have LBP3 in it. LBP2 did 382k first 3 weeks, so LBP3 can do about 500k-800k depending on how it does. SSB 3DS was 495k+ last month. If it were a normal month, it would decrease anywhere between 180k-300k, but its only week 6-9 for the game and in Nov.

Lastly... Last November, we got Numbers and/or Breakdowns for each platform http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=174214

LBP3 has a launch bundle..on BF, which will sell gangbusters. Plus it's on two platforms. I think Smash can do 500k+ but LBP should make it to about 600k+ (~450k on PS4). Unfortunately the bundle won't be counted though ;o

 

Like I said, we only get the top 10 combined SKUs with breakdowns per platform. We don't know how each SKU lines up between different games.

Hmmm... Didnt know it got some BF deals, i guess it can definitely do well (i think it will, just not  around 700k-800k)


That said your expectations might be a little low for SSBU (if its around 500k or a little more). The best Comparison for SSBU is obviously MK8 right? Lets Break it Down.

~SSBU releases Nov, While MK8 released in May.

~Mario Kart 8 did 375k first month, 40k were digital making 415k.

~MK8 had 2 days of sales, SSBU Has 9 days (or 16 days if Nov NPD ends on Dec 6th)

~SSBU has Black Friday (Yeahhh!)

~SSBU has more Pre Orders than MK8, unless that was a lie :p

~WiiU install base will be much bigger (well at least somewhat)

~Bonus: Imo i think SSB usually has a much better week 1 than MK, but this isnt proven for many factors unless we only count Brawl+MKWii comparison which is fair and Brawl had 1.3mil FW and MKWii had 1.0mil FW with a better installbase.

 

For SSBU to do around 500k, it would have to hit under MK8 first week (375k-400k) then drop off immensely on Black friday(100k-125k). Not happening!!!



tak13 on 16 November 2014
tbone51 said:
Ka-pi96 said:
tak13 said:

FACEPALM!At least you should have smash bros 8th...smash bros n64 the least selling smash, has almost triple difference with the best selling far cry and the best selling assasin creed is above it with a 25k difference!I will repeat,everyone should do a research before posting...

Don't Nintendo fans always say that Nintendo games have great legs and other games are very frontloaded? So it would make sense if games like AC and Far Cry were to outsell it to start with, no?

Damn right! But Far Cry 3 on X360 released Early Dec in 2012, and that game did 592k for the entire month (did better than ps3 version). FC4 releaseson the 18th and it will have less days in comparison and though it has BF, so does every other game and Dec>Nov.

You can keep your prediction, to each their own. (just wanted to let you kno though, cuz i thought FC3 sold close to that of AC.

 

@tak13: Just do your prediction and we'll compare everybody and see who's TRULY RIGHT :P

Okey dokey!

1. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (PS4)

2. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (XB1)

3. Grand Theft Auto V (PS4)

4. Grand Theft Auto V (XB1)

5. Halo MMC (XB1)

6. SSB (WIIU)

7. Pokemon AS (3DS) 

8.Pokemon OR (3DS)

9.Assassin's Creed Unity (PS4) 

10. Assassin's Creed Unity (XB1)

if pokemon or/as was being counted combined,i would have Pokemon first!I m sad that they are counting them separately!



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tbone51 on 16 November 2014
tak13 said:
tbone51 said:
Ka-pi96 said:
tak13 said:

Okey dokey!

1. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (PS4)

2. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (XB1)

3. Grand Theft Auto V (PS4

4. Grand Theft Auto V (XB1)

5. Halo MMC (XB1)

6. SSB (WIIU)

7. Pokemon AS (3DS) 

8.Pokemon OR (3DS)

9.Assassin's Creed Unity (PS4) 

10. Assassin's Creed Unity (XB1)

if pokemon or/as was being counted combined,i would have Pokemon first!I m sad that they are counting them separately!

i disagree with your comment, COD would still be first, there first couple of weeks are huge, on 4 platforms, nov 4th release, etc.

Pokemon are remakes but should definitely be an easy number 2 if combined



Seece on 16 November 2014

Doesn't Pokemon count as one sku?



 

tbone51 on 16 November 2014
Seece said:
Doesn't Pokemon count as one sku?


yes and no, technically it is one sku (game) but some trackers differentiate. Like NPD tracks both seperately but Nintendo+Media Create/Famitsu track them as one combined.



Seece on 16 November 2014
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
Doesn't Pokemon count as one sku?


yes and no, technically it is one sku (game) but some trackers differentiate. Like NPD tracks both seperately but Nintendo+Media Create/Famitsu track them as one combined.

Ah ok thanks, that'll really go against monkey it's favour in terms of skus then



 

ICStats on 16 November 2014

1. GTA V (PS4)
2. AC: U (XB1)
3. Smash Bros. (Wii U)
4. Halo MCC (XB1)
5. AC: U (PS4)
6. GTA V (XB1)
7. COD: AW (PS4)
8. COD: AW (XB1)
9. Pokemon Alpha Sapphire (3DS)
10. Pokemon Omega Ruby (3DS)

11. Far Cry 4 (PS4)
12. LBP3
13. Far Cry 4 (XB1)

Some notes based on Amazon Nov Ranks:

- GTA V (PS4) is close to Halo MCC (XB1).  Once it releases, it will go higher, and then there's PS4 bundles on Black Friday.  It's my #1.
- AC: U (XB1) bundle is ranked almost as high as Halo MCC, and it will sell big on Black Friday.  Plus there's standalone AC:U.  It's my #2
- Smash (Wii U) is just behind Halo MCC, and it will pass it this week.  It's my #3.
- Halo MCC (XB1) is ranked above AC:U (PS4).  It's my #4.
- AC:U (PS4) is ranked above COD:AW (PS4).  It's my #5.
- GTA V (XB1) is just behind COD:AW (XB1) and it'll pass it this week.  It's my #6.
- COD:AW on XB1 & PS4 are very close.  XB1 had an early boost.  PS4 will have better sustained sales due to install base.  They're my #7 & #8 but they're close.



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