| Landguy said: The 360 had a 6 million console lead + a price advantage when the PS3 came out. The PS4 has only a 1 million lead in the US, and until June, had a $100 price advantage and the obvious perception issues. Currently, the Perception issue is fading into the past and the price has now moved into the XB1's favor. If the public feels that the XB1 is now OK to buy, it will achieve a continued parity with the PS4. I don't assume like many others that the XB1 will now magically make up all the lost ground and take the lead in the US by Jan of 2015. I do believe that it can at least match the PS4 in US sales throughout 2015. If that happens, that would be a huge win for the XB1. |
In reality, that gap matters a lot more to perception then launch woes. Jan is when DRM stopped mattering to the public, June is when Kinect stopped mattering. People, especially Americans, go where their friends go, and thats gonna be where the sales are. Price cuts, bundles, and holiday deals are insufficent with regards to momentum and baseline.
In fact, I can almost guarantee that ~50% of XB1's LTD was in its first 2 months. Sure it looks good on paper, it might even stop the consecutive NPD victories but its not addressing the problem and possibly makes things worse. People will start waiting for holidays to buy the XB1, meanwhile gap's growing from jan - oct, holidays start to matter less and less. And Xbox has always been good on holidays, but since they aren't topdog in US anymore, momentum is gonna have to matter alot more.
Matching the sales of the PS4 in the US throughout 2015 is not going to happen because of holiday deals alone. And a "drought" in the first half of 2015 is the last thing they need.
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