So you think the Wii U+One and PS4 will each sell six million consoles this holiday season despite the PS4 selling a lot more than the Wii U+One on a regular basis the rest of the year.  PS4 is going to sell more than both other consoles combined.  How much more is the question.  17 million is going to be the minimum.    

*edit*

Also.  First year sales for the PS360 were on average half of what the PS4 has been selling or less.  Both of those consoles sold around four million their first holiday after launch.  There's nothing saying that it will sell that much, but going by statistics, I'd say there's a good chance the PS4 sells around eight million this holiday season.

Huh? Xb one+WiiU at the moment is 12.8 million, so between them think they'll sell 5.2-5.7 million for the remainder of the year. PS4 is on 11 million and I think it will do 5.5-6 million for the remainder of the year. That means I think PS4 is likely to outsell Xbone+Wii U, but not by anywhere near enough to actually achieve 50% LTD. However as there is some overlap I think it's possible PS4 will not quite sell as much as Xb one+WiiU. in any case I think it is highly unlikely PS4 will outsell Xb one+Wii U by enough to actually gain 50% LTD.

I would say mid 2015 because the xbox one and wii u have a 2.9 million advantage when combined. So far this year through the first ~40 weeks, the PS4 has averaged about 65k more than Xbox One and wii u combined per week. At this rate it would take about 44 weeks (2.9 million/65k advance per week)  for the PS4 to achieve 50% market share which should put us smack in the middle of 2015.

If you consider the undertracking on the ps4 Christmas doesn't seem a crazy prediction.

Wherein the PS4 has still easily outsold it which means it'll be the PS4 that likely gets the bigger boost, both in NA and the rest of the world.

That may be because they arent Marketeers. Nor are you, clearly.

That is alright though. I'm no longer interested in commenting after that reply.

Yes, that's right, I'm not. People assumed I was talking about consoles (PS4/XB1/WiiU) and they were right, but pardon my ignorance, I'm clearly not as sharp as you.

Well the PS4's marketshare went up yet again. If this years 60%+ sales are any indication, I don't see how it can't reach 50% by June or July 2015. Also, next year, Sony is push really hard with games early and no one is talking about PS4's China debut.

Its not about beeing sharp, its about doing a correct analisys. When you talk about a market you have to tell us how you are defining that market. One can just as easily assume you are talking about the whole home console market. Actually, i am quite sure some of the replies had that as a basis.

Assumption is not a valid excuse. You cant define assumption. That is not scientific in any way. I asked for you to define that market. Apparantly i offended. I just wanted to leave a good comment but i didnt have enough information to extrapolate it.

Of course, i could have just as easily ignored giving a good comment and just derp some answer. I dont do console wars though.

I said Q1 2015 in the beginning, but I'm changing my forecast. Considering WiiU low low figures, I would say PS4 will have 50% of Console Market share by the end of 2014. PS4 previous week had already 46.5%...