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Forums - Nintendo - Prediction: Wii U Won't Make to the 21m

 

what do you think?

Wii u will sell more than 40m 123 31.95%
 
Wii u wont make it to 25m 163 42.34%
 
Nintendo will release a n... 33 8.57%
 
Nintendo FTW!!! 66 17.14%
 
Total:385
Wazowski on 21 September 2014
Vena said:
Wazowski said:

we need take to account price drops and bundles, a good price drop can change a lot of things, now is just up to Nintendo to do it right..


As I said in the post, we don't know what a price-drop will do. But Nintendo won't drop the price until they've gone through the pre-ordained 10 million gamepad contract for the parts, that's probably not long into the future as gamepads get sold/replaced as well along the way.


oh ok;) i see it now:P yes 17m-21m seems to be a safe bet to a lot of people (may be i should have put 15m xD would be a bit bolder bu still on the table)



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Wazowski on 21 September 2014
Aerys said:

Well, NGC had a huge price drop, it only helped it to reach 22M


yeah, but by that time ps2 was killing it... this time around is diferent ...oh wait... :P



jonathanalis on 21 September 2014

20-25

it is tracking below GC. But GC at this time already had all the big hits. Wii U momentum is only starting. 2015 will be better than 2014.



benji232 on 21 September 2014

Not a very risky prediction. It's going to be a struggle to even reach 16m.



Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M

Welfare on 21 September 2014

18,000,000 at the max when all is said and done.



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

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WagnerPaiva on 21 September 2014

I think it will pass 25 million, if the cool games keep on coming, like Zelda, Star Fox, Metroid and FZero...



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.

kupomogli on 21 September 2014

18m max lifetime.



I3LuEI3omI3eR on 21 September 2014
Wazowski said:

Ok, this is not to piss any fan, i like the Wii U, but anyway i'm calling it now.

Wii U is heading to it's 2nd birthday, and by now, it sold a bit more than 7m, by the end of the year it will be around 10m (with luck)

I think even Nintendo knows they need to step up, and with 2 great competitors and (almost) no multiplat support, the gap between other consoles will only get bigger. I can see they announcing a new console by 2016..

what you guys think?

Please be polite in comments

 

Then that mean they Wii U would have sold worse than the Gamecube, and the Wii U is a much better system than the gamecube.

I will say it will sell around 23 million. That's it.



foxtail on 21 September 2014
Aerys said:
Wazowski said:

we need take to account price drops and bundles, a good price drop can change a lot of things, now is just up to Nintendo to do it right..

Well, NGC had a huge price drop, it only helped it to reach 22M

The initial Gamecube price cut was in reaction to a bigger more aggressive price cut made by the PS2.  

NGC launch price $199 --> cut to $149 (-$50) in May 2002.

PS2 launch price $299 --> cut to $199 (-$100) in May 2002.

That PS2 price cut basically stopped the GC in it's tracks.  In the end the PS2 price cut was enough to keep it's momentum going, and to note around 80% of all PS2 sold were priced at $199 or under.



Vena on 21 September 2014
Wazowski said:

oh ok;) i see it now:P yes 17m-21m seems to be a safe bet to a lot of people (may be i should have put 15m xD would be a bit bolder bu still on the table)


We don't really know what could happen. For all we know, Splatoon may be the second coming of Halo or Mario Maker might bust out to be a Minecraft-lite success, or maybe (not) Xenoblade will usurp the favor and fandom of Final Fantasy by being a better game and... releasing. More than likely, none of these things will happen but they could, and the world could flip on its head. :P