Okay, so;
- Starfox for Wii U (like Assault) - Very unlikely, imo, as the franchise has been in steady decline ever since 64.
- TPS Metroid (not developed by Sakamoto) - Unlikely, considering the most recent 3rd person Metroid's bad reception and sales, as well as the disappointing sales of the Metroid IP in general (even with the last two being on the mighty Wii).
- Mario Kart 8 - Happening
- Super Smash Bros. 4 Wii U (c wut i did ther) - Happening
- Pokken Fighters (with sound design and particles as good as Killer Instinct. Oh, and Toxicroak better be playable) - Nobody knows of this game even exists, nor what it will be if it does.
- X - Happening
- Shin Megami Tensei x Fire Emblem (open world JRPG set in an urban city) - Game hasn't been mentioned since its original mention. Hoping for best-case scenarios won't make them come true.
- 3D Donkey Kong game (one that's not a collect-a-thon) - Not happening. It took Retro a few years to get DKCTF out. 3D would take longer, it doesn't seem like Retro are doing DK anymore, and Nintendo themselves don't have enough manpower as is. They won't outsource a main AAA franchise game to a 3rd party.
- A game that plagerizes Sunset Overdrive without shame (Project S.T.E.A.M.?) - Simply unfeasible considering Nintendo Nintendo are reluctant to blatantly copying competitors' games.
- A 3D Sonic game that takes the roller coaster, momentum based level design and mechanics found in Sonic Advance 2 (No 2D stages) - I've never played a Sonic game, so I can't comment on this one.
- Open World Mario (Because "real 3D Mario" is too complex a concept for a lot of you to understand) - Unlikely. We'll likely see a new 3D Mario game that's less linear and static than 3D World was, but it won't be 'open world'. Ever since Sunshine, the 3D Marios have become more and more linear with every iteration. Nintendo's obsessed with hand-holding, beginner-friendliness and accessibility. Expect Galaxy 1-like 'openness' at the very most.
- Kid Icarus Wii U - Sakurai himself said he won't make another KI game. Quote: 'For now, my thought is that perhaps we'll see someone else besides me make another Kid Icarus in another 25 years.' And I cannot imagine this IP being high on Nintendo's list of priorities. Also, such a game would take quite a lot of effort, seeing how they don't have much besides KI Uprising to go on for development. Unless they intendo to do Kid Icarus Uprising HD.
- 3D Kirby game - When was Kirby ever 3D? (Hint - never. Unless you mean 2.5D, but those games were still sidescrollers.)
- Bayonetta 2, I guess - Coming.