NintendoPie said:
pokoko said:
I think you somewhat underestimate the desire of children to move on to bigger and cooler experiences. Let's say you have a boy playing on his iPhone when a Battlefield 7 video comes on the television. He will want that. Explosions, tanks, machine guns--he's going to want that. Angry Birds Zeta isn't going to replicate that.
There will be customers lost, no doubt. I think Nintendo, because their style of game is generally less complex, will see the biggest falloff, but even then their depth and quality will still brings in an audience.
If home consoles go away, it will be because of technological developments, not a lack of interest. One day people might be able to hook their phones to a tv and a controller and stream games, for example. However, I just can't see the audience for experiences like Halo, CoD, or Uncharted just disappearing. |
There are already games being developed and sold on the App Store that are akin to CoD/Battlefield. They aren't as fleshed out, but they are getting there.
What console makers need to do is evolve with the market if this happens. Sony is doing a pretty good job at this (integrating social media, streeming, online stores.) Nintendo is starting to do this with their VC/eShop/Netflix/Hulu as well. It's not just physical games anymore.
I would also like to point out that Facebook is going downhill. None of my friends use Facebook (I'm a High Schooler), they've jumped ship to Twitter and Vine. Neither of these have games built in. I realise that's somewhat anecdotal, but it's true. Remember when everyone jumped ship from Myspace to Facebook? Well, it's happening again.
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You don't know anything!
I do agree that there will be bleed, I just don't think it will kill traditional games. Children want things. That's like their official function, wanting things. Sure, they might have all 10,000 Pokemon but when they see a friend with Pokemon 10,001, they want that Pokemon, too. Children getting into gaming is good because they want more and more. A $15 FPS game might be good but when they see Halo 9, they will want that. It's bigger and better. Kids don't care about price.
As for evolving, I agree with that, as well. Game consoles probably won't disappear, they'll just become something else. They'll be integrated. One day you can probably decide if you want the Xbox, Nintendo, or Playstation app, or maybe even all of them, just like video services.
Big budget games are going to continue making money because people keep looking for the best experiences.
