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Forums - Sales - PS4 will sell 200 million console sales this generation?

Mummelmann on 25 January 2014

OP: No way, not even close. I'll be shocked if all three 8th gen consoles manage 200 million combined. Shorter cycle due to technology and features being driven by revisionist products in consumer electronics in general + segmented market contraction due to massive branching and division of the gaming market and gaming demographics = underwhelming 8th gen sales in total.

Current market movements won't allow any home or handheld console to reach 30 million sales for one year, even 20 million is a stretch at this point, seeing the 3DS struggle with the 14 million barrier with practically no direct competition and in a market segment that can allow for some staggering numbers makes it a huge leap of logic to assume that any home console can more than double that with actual competition and serving an overall more narrow market segment, on an average single platform basis at any rate.

The PS4 doesn't have a gimmick to achieve sales, it will rely on a slow and steady trudge by appealing to very traditional console customers but won't have much casual appeal to draw in the horde that is the transitional audience, the entertainment nomads who chase the fickle perceived value and make more impulsive purchases in droves. The other two have gimmicks that will ultimately do more harm than good since they present somewhat conflicting ideas in one single environment and attempt to force market convergence by way of a somewhat bipolar conceptual image.

People are going way overboard with their expectations for this gen, I don't think any fanbase will be greatly impressed by their company's accomplishments when all is said and done. 200 million sales for a single home console in the 8th gen is an utterly ridiculous notion at best.



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Chris1596 on 25 January 2014

As awesome as that would be it won't happen probably 90 million max I think



kirby007 on 25 January 2014

i'll give it a 90 million max
with xbox one at 81 million



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

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Meret on 25 January 2014

haha what? no way



NolSinkler on 25 January 2014

No. It won't.



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Gilgamesh on 25 January 2014

Shouldn't be to much of  a problem, 250 million is the questionable amount.

The problem now is meeting the demand, to many shortages.



DonFerrari on 25 January 2014
Egann said:
200 million units? 45 million more units than any console has sold in the history of ever?!

Really, the generation is too young to call on anything. There IS a twist coming from Nintendo, and I'm pretty sure Microsoft won't take being the dog too long once Balmer's ousted. In the meantime you might get the next calendar year or so right, but there's just not enough information to come to a meaningful LIFETIME sales prediction.

Zelda U might be hailed as the best game in the history of ever and make the Wii U sell 50 million units in one year. Ubisoft could push a Kinect game which actually WORKS. The PS4 could get hacked and drop ten million credit card numbers on the web. We just don't know.


Why so much hate for Sony??? The only bad hypothesis you made were for PS4

Why not have a hypothesis where Knack or Kanack 2 put the charts in flames./jk



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DonFerrari on 25 January 2014
Gilgamesh said:

Shouldn't be to much of  a problem, 250 million is the questionable amount.

The problem now is meeting the demand, to many shortages.


And what would be the maximum barrier??? 500M?



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

ICStats on 25 January 2014

I don't think PS4 is set to beat the PS2's record. Xbox One will sell more than the original Xbox, taking from the PS4's potential market.



My 8th gen collection

Egann on 25 January 2014
DonFerrari said:
Egann said:
200 million units? 45 million more units than any console has sold in the history of ever?!

Really, the generation is too young to call on anything. There IS a twist coming from Nintendo, and I'm pretty sure Microsoft won't take being the dog too long once Balmer's ousted. In the meantime you might get the next calendar year or so right, but there's just not enough information to come to a meaningful LIFETIME sales prediction.

Zelda U might be hailed as the best game in the history of ever and make the Wii U sell 50 million units in one year. Ubisoft could push a Kinect game which actually WORKS. The PS4 could get hacked and drop ten million credit card numbers on the web. We just don't know.


Why so much hate for Sony??? The only bad hypothesis you made were for PS4

Why not have a hypothesis where Knack or Kanack 2 put the charts in flames./jk


I'm not really hating them so much as I'm saying the inertia won't be consistent. The PS4 does look to be this gen's big success story because Sony has all the inertia, ergo a massive Sony success is not actually likely to change the story of the generation. A massive doozy is another story.