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Forums - Nintendo - Predictions: How Many Wii Million Sellers by 2009?

DSLover said:
I would say 40-50.

wow only a 10 point range! your range was 12 in the PS3 one.

 

Once again why didn't you just say between 10 and 4000?

 

OT: My guess is 43.

 

Edit: I'll actually say 33. Weak 2008 lineup aside from Mario Kart Wii and...umm...



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I say 55.

and a few games we never heard of before. for example

Rope Jumping (Wiifit)
Wiicheer (Wiifit)
Step up (stepping game on Wiifit)

Carnival 2,
Carnival 3,
Carnival spinout - WiiMagic
Carnival prequel - The Ways of the Gypsy



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)

I would also say 40-50 (agreeing w. DSLover)
I think that these games will make it:
Pokemon Battle REvolution
SSBB
Mario Kart
Wii Fit
Animal Crossing
...
and more



I'll be vague, and say there will be more 1M+ selling titles on the Wii than on the 360. The PS3 obviously won't be even close before the second half of 09, if ever.



Between 40-50 games.



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I say 37 at the most by the end of the year. A Toy's R Us Buy 2 Get One Free deal at the end of the year will put many titles over the million mark. Maybe Nintendo will introduce the Player's Choice this year for titles that sold over 500k.




360 Games Now Playing   360 Games unopened:  Resonance of Fate  Last 360 Game I Beat: Resident Evil 5

DS Games Now Playing: Dragon Quest VI  DS Games unopened Knights in the Nightmare, Etrian Odyssey III, Okamiden, Dragon Quest IX Last DS Game I beat: Radiant Historia

Wii Games Now Playing  Super Mario Galaxy 2, Arc Rise Fantasia  Wii  Games unopened  Little King's Story, Sonic Colors, Silent Hill Shattered Memories Last Wii Game I beat: Sin & Punishment 2

Well, we have 19 at 1m now, so that gives us a good base.

I see nothing under 800,000 that I think will manage to get over the top by the end of this calendar year.

Of the games in the middle, Resident Evil UC, Pokemon, Sonic, and Lego Star Wars are likely to hit the top, and I'll give an outside chance to My Sims.

That puts the total at 24 before January 1, 2009.

Future releases?

Sure bets: Mario Kart Wii, Wii Fit, Animal Crossing Wii, Pro Evo Wii, Monster Hunter 3

Outside chance: House of the Dead 2 and 3, Mario Baseball, Sonic Tennis, Alone in the Dark, Fatal Frame 4, Disaster: DoC, Boom Blox, LEGO Indy, SW: Force Unleashed (would be a sure thing if it weren't MP), LEGO Batman, Okami, FF:CC

If I am right on those sure bets, we get to 29. Let's say half of the others make it, that gets us to 34-35.

Toss in some sports titles (Madden, NCAA, etc) and maybe a movie based title or two (Iron Man, Indy 4, etc), and surely some more unnanounced titles (Nintendogs Wii, Red Steel 2, Kid Icarus, Carnival Games 2, etc) and I can easily see us over 40, but not by much as these games are likely to be late releases that won't have as much time to accumulate the totals.

Since coolestguyever claimed 43, and 68soul claimed 44, I'll stake a claim on 42.



on 19 right now with REUC, Lego Star Wars, Pokemon BR, S&SR, RRR2 gonna make it by the end of year. Add onto that Mario Kart and say 3 other Nintendo titles (i'm gonna go for Animal Crossing, Pikmin and I reckon Wii Music will get released for December in Japan and sell a million).

on top of that 28 My sims will get to 1 million as will Rock Band and new Guitar Hero Aerosmith then say another 5 out of titles like Boom Blox, Tiger Woods 08 NCAAA Football, Wii PES 2008, Okami, Project Rygar, MH3, FF4, new Factor 5 titles or even new Retro Studios title.

There's always a couple of unexpected hits (ie Lego Indiana Jones may just fly off the shelves as Lego Star Wars has done well) . I'm gonna go with 43 and to name the unexpected titles i'll say Red Steel 2 wil be one of them



 


between 48-52



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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