| ICStats said: Although I think it's possible they air shipped some supply to get more in December, which could reduce available supply in January. |
This exactly. 2 million a month would be a pretty nnutsmanufacturing number for a new console.
ethomaz said:
They can't use something not manufactured yet... They are producing about 200-250k units per week (~1.2m units per month)... so it is not like they can use the January production... they used in December what they produced until Dec 20th (they need ~1.5 week to ship to US). |
You missed the point. Shipping units by sea takes time, let's say 2 weeks to make it round.
Produce 350k by Nov 25 -> Deliver week of Dec 9
Produce 350k by Dec 2 -> Deliver week of Dec 16
Produce 350k by Dec 9 -> Deliver week of Dec 23
Produce 350k by Dec 16 -> Deliver week of Dec 30
Produce 350k by Dec 23 -> Deliver week of Jan 6
Produce 350k by Dec 30 -> Deliver week of Jan 13
etc.
Now, in order to boost supply in December what they can do is air-ship two weeks supply so that it arrives ~2 weeks early, so that instead of delivering 4*350k they deliver 6*350k in December (1.4 million by sea and 0.7 million by air). Air shipping is much faster, but costs more so they wouldn't keep doing it forever.
It's rumored that they did that in order to give that big boost in Dec, and if that's the case it would take away form the delivery in January, so we could have them deliver only say 700k~1050k in January.
|
ICStats said: You missed the point. Shipping units by sea takes time, let's say 2 weeks to make it round. Produce 350k by Nov 25 -> Deliver week of Dec 9 Now, in order to boost supply in December what they can do is air-ship two weeks supply so that it arrives ~2 weeks early, so that instead of delivering 4*350k they deliver 6*350k in December (1.4 million by sea and 0.7 million by air). It's rumored that they did that in order to give that big boost in Dec, and if that's the case it would take away form the delivery in January, so we could have them deliver only say 700k~1050k in January. |
Air-ship didn't make magic... they need some days yet to ship the product even with air-ship... ~5 days... 2 weeks vs 5 days... I don't see that much difference that will create a lack in suppy in January.
They will have ~1m units in stores in January.... that won't change.
ethomaz said:
Air-ship didn't make magic... they need some days yet to ship the product even with air-ship... ~5 days... 2 weeks vs 5 days... I don't see that much difference that will create a lack in suppy in January. They will have ~1m units in stores in January.... that won't change. |
Ignoring loading time & customs, the travel time from China to US West coast by cargo ship is 11 days, and then you have shipping time to and from some port. If it's final destination is the East cost then it will take a lot longer. A plane can fly the same to West or East coast in less than 1 day.
More so, from China to the UK it takes longer by cargo ship, more like 3 to 4 weeks.
They could have used the strategy of shipping more by ship to the US, and shipping to Europe by air. Especially, China to UK is much closer by air than China to USA. Either way, introducing air shipping will have moved some supply from January into December.
Don't take my word for it though, this is just a possibility to consider.
The console is hyped pretty much at the moment, but once every fan has one, sales will probably get much lower. I predict 5.5 million at the end of March.
What about the stock and manufacturing? Does that mean that Sony has to sell everything they produce?
I predicted 6.5 million but I have to say, after finding out they'd already sold 4.4 million, I realised it could actually be 7 million +. 8.5 million is asking a lot though
The PS5 Exists.
| game_on said: The console is hyped pretty much at the moment, but once every fan has one, sales will probably get much lower. I predict 5.5 million at the end of March. |
so it's going to sell 1 million more units in 2 months with its second largest country to launch?
betacon said:
|
I don't get this. I am a fan and still don't have a ps4. You can't make a prediction based on fanbase.
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