Nope, not at all.  I keep bringing up Amazon, but its really the only place we can even gauge some part of the market.  Right now, the PS4 is ahead of the Xbox One for the past hour.  Not too out of the norm, except for one thing.  The Xbox One has been in stock for a week or more, and still has over 1000 units in stock, while the PS4 is only been selling through 3rd parties on the site.  And I don't think they have the kind of stock to match what Amazon would have.

If I was predicting the ratio at the moment I'd be thinking 70% PS4, 25% Xbox One and 5% wii u but I know both Microsoft and Nintendo will not let that happen so will price cut etc. Whether that is successful is another matter. Nintendo predicted 9 million wii u's would sell from april 2013 to march 2014 but it looks like 1-1.5 million will be sold. Last gen we say about 250 million consoles sold although all three consoles are still being actively sold. 5% of that is  about 12 million consoles.  Currently that is looking difficult to achieve for wii u. I'm sure that won't happen but its difficult at this point to see why that won't happen. You wonder how Nintendo will turn it around.

Color me not surprised, PS4 is cheaper, smoother, smaller, and more powerful than it's weaker 500 dollar MS competitor and has quiet a lot more graphical potential than the Wii U at 100 dollars more, my problem is never with the hardware however, but the requirement to pay to play online really turns me off to the PS4 now. Will make final decision when I see TLoU2 reviews of course.

656k - 625k

I don't see it expanding.  Most likely it will shrink below Gen 7, but higher than Gen 6 numbers.  Reason being that a lot of the audience that the Wii attracted, the casuals, have left the market.  The core gamers chose the 360 and PS3 (with many being multi-console owners), with some going for the Wii (mostly Nintendo fans).  The casuals leaving the market can be illustrated in the poor performance of the Wii U.  It's the cheapest, like the Wii.  It has a "gimmicky" controller, like the Wii U.  And it has more games that appeal to the casual crowd, like the Wii. 

Now, moving onto the core.  I think that the noticeable decline in Xbox One demand so close to launch means that most are going to go with the PS4 this gen, seeing as MS has lost all the advatages it had last gen.  They launched within weeks of each other, not a year or more earlier, like the 360.  The One isn't $200 cheaper than the PS4, like the 360, it is now $100 more expensive.  And while the 360 was slightly less powerful than the PS3, it really only showed in exclusives and barely in a few multiplats.  This time around, there is a very noticable difference in the power of each machine, probably the largest seen between the 1st and 2nd most powerful consoles in a gen.  A difference that will only become more noticeable in the coming years.

In the end, I see PS4 ending somewhere between the PS1 and PS2 (~115M-120M.)  The One somewhere between Xbox and 360 (50M-55M.)  And the Wii U doing slightly above N64 (35M-40M.)

You may be wrong here. Because the multiplat shooters are already selling better in USA on PS4, slightly better for COD, but still better, and easily better for BF4.

I expect that Destiny will sell a lot better on PS4 than X1 like BF4. The probable resolution/performance difference between the 2 version and the great DS4 controller will also help that.

And also PS4 hardware is already winning easily while being sold out everywhere in USA so how do you think that PS4 will be close second? Maybe when Titanfall is released, ok.

X1 may win back some gamers with Halo 5 and Titanfall 1 I admit, when they are released, helping the X1 to be head to head with PS4 on USA. Until Titanfall 2 is out on PS4 of course.

How do you expect x1 sales rise above ps4?? Ps4 will have plenty of heavy hitters as well, works both ways..360 has not otusold ps3 ijn years despite being more expensive, sorry do not see it. 360 had every advantage, and still couldnt do it, x1 surely won't. 

I'm not familiar with the thread you're talking about, but I don't think you know what hypocrisy is.

Accepting that a multiplatform game is just one game has nothing to do with saying that handhelds and consoles are the same. Just seems like some poorly executed cherry picking on your end.

I always have to facepalm when people talk about xbone pricecuts, heavy hitters, etc... it's as if they act like Sony doesn't have anything to combat it.

Fact of the matter is that those xbox "heavy hitters", one year advantage, and cheaper pricetag havent done much but made it equal in sales to the ps3. OTH the PlayStation name itself and its heavy hitters have made it outsell 360 every year since 2010.

PS4 is cheaper to produce so if anyone gets a price cut anytime soon its gonna be the ps4. And with the ps4 being cheaper it's a no brainer.

Sony has mlb the show 14, driveclub, uncharted, infamous, and the order 1886 this year and many unannounced ip's like santa monica's new ip, unannounced gg's new ip, sony bend's new ip, media molecule's new ip, unannounced Naughty Dog's new ip, quantic dreams new ip, sony japan stuff, and many exclusive indies including everyone's gone to the rapture, rime, hohokum, shadow of the beast, and h-hour (spiritual socom successor).

Sony has plenty to combat anything ms has to throw and I see this generation HEAVILY PS4 SIDED!!!!

Don't forget to throw a game in there unless you are going to play a game called 1080P blank screen. Also don't forget to add $50 if you want to play online.

Also don't forget there is a $250 Wii U bundle that again, includes free online and a free game.

So reality is you are talking $250 vs $460 or even more. That is significant. It is almost double the price and is actually double if you plan to play online.